Tiaret vs Usm El Harrach Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 26 Sep 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultUsm El Harrach to win ✗63% · @1.95

Double chanceUsm El Harrach or draw ✓88% · @1.18

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗62% · fair 1.62

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18

Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗20% · fair 5.06

Tiaret vs Usm El Harrach preview and prediction

The match

Tiaret host Usm El Harrach in the Ligue 2 on Saturday 26 September, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT). Tiaret are 13th with 7 points from 9 games (in the bottom half), while Usm El Harrach sit 6th on 14 points (in the top half).

Form guide

Tiaret's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to WA Tlemcen 1–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Usm El Harrach's last 5: WWDLW Most recently they beat ASM Oran 1–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Usm El Harrach arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.5.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 0.5 for Tiaret and 1.5 for Usm El Harrach. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Win chances: Tiaret 12%, draw 25%, Usm El Harrach 63%.
Safer route: Usm El Harrach or draw (88%) at 1.18.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Usm El Harrach to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.59, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Tiaret 0–1 Usm El Harrach. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Tiaret12%fair 8.44 · @3.90

Draw25%fair 3.94 · @2.90

Usm El Harrach63%fair 1.59 · @1.95

2.06Expected goals

0.51Tiaret xG

1.55Usm El Harrach xG

38%Both score

35%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–120%

0–215%

0–013%

1–110%

0–38%

1–28%

From our goals model: Tiaret 0.5 – 1.5 Usm El Harrach expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Usm El Harrach to win ✗	63%	1.59	1.95 ▲
Double chance	Usm El Harrach or draw ✓	88%	1.13	1.18
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✗	62%	1.62	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	61%	1.64	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	65%	1.53	1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	85%	1.18	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	47%	2.13	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Usm El Harrach / FT Usm El Harrach ✗	39%	2.60	–
Correct score	Correct score 0–1 ✗	20%	5.06	–

Form

Tiaret – last 6

LLLLWL

19 Sep	@ WA Tlemcen	1–2	L
8 May	@ Béchar Djedid	1–3	L
1 May	vs Témouchent	0–1	L
9 Apr	@ WA Mostaganem	0–3	L
17 Feb	vs WA Tlemcen	3–0	W
13 Feb	@ RC Arba	1–2	L

1.0Scored / game

1.8Conceded / game

50%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

Usm El Harrach – last 6

WWDLWW

19 Sep	vs ASM Oran	1–0	W
8 May	vs WA Mostaganem	3–0	W
1 May	@ GC Mascara	1–1	D
10 Apr	vs ASM Oran	1–2	L
17 Feb	vs Témouchent	2–0	W
13 Feb	@ CRB Adrar	4–0	W

2.0Scored / game

0.5Conceded / game

33%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	GC Mascara	9	6	3	0	+13	21
2	Blida	9	6	3	0	+10	21
3	RC Kouba	9	5	4	0	+14	19
4	Mostaganem	9	4	3	2	+3	15
5	MC Saida	8	4	3	1	+3	15
6	Usm El Harrach	9	4	2	3	+2	14
7	Sidi Benali	9	4	2	3	0	14
8	ASM Oran	9	3	4	2	+6	13
9	Hussein Dey	9	4	0	5	-4	12
10	WA Mostaganem	9	2	4	3	-1	10
11	WA Tlemcen	9	2	3	4	-4	9
12	RC Arba	7	2	2	3	-2	8
13	Tiaret	9	1	4	4	+1	7
14	Koléa	8	2	0	6	-8	6
15	El Bayadh	9	0	4	5	-7	4
16	Taghit	9	0	1	8	-26	1

Team

Pts

+13

+10

+14

-4

-1

-4

-2

-8

-7

-26

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tiaret vs Usm El Harrach?

Our pick is Usm El Harrach to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.

Who will win Tiaret vs Usm El Harrach?

On our numbers Tiaret have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Usm El Harrach 63%.

How many goals will there be in Tiaret vs Usm El Harrach?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 38% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tiaret vs Usm El Harrach?

Our predicted score is Tiaret 0–1 Usm El Harrach, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Tiaret vs Usm El Harrach?

Tiaret vs Usm El Harrach (Ligue 2) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

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