Wingate & Finchley vs Hemel Hempstead Town prediction & analysis
93%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.07 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
–Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultWingate & Finchley to win ✓46% · fair 2.17
Double chanceEither team to win ✓87% · fair 1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗65% · fair 1.55
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.65
Wingate & Finchley vs Hemel Hempstead Town preview and prediction
The match
Wingate & Finchley host Hemel Hempstead Town in the FA Cup on Tuesday 22 September, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT).
Form guide
Wingate & Finchley's last 5: DWLDL Most recently they drew with Hemel Hempstead Town 1–1 away. They average 1.7 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Hemel Hempstead Town's last 5: DDDDL Most recently they drew with Wingate & Finchley 1–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Wingate & Finchley arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 19 September 2026, finished Hemel Hempstead Town 1–1 Wingate & Finchley.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.5 goals: 0.8 for Wingate & Finchley and 0.7 for Hemel Hempstead Town. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 81% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 93% chance. Predicted score: Wingate & Finchley 0–0 Hemel Hempstead Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Wingate & Finchley46%fair 2.17
Draw13%fair 7.69
Hemel Hempstead Town41%fair 2.44
1.50Expected goals
0.79Wingate & Finchley xG
0.71Hemel Hempstead Town xG
35%Both score
19%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–022%
1–018%
0–116%
1–113%
2–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: Wingate & Finchley 0.8 – 0.7 Hemel Hempstead Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Wingate & Finchley vs Hemel Hempstead Town?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 93% chance.
Who will win Wingate & Finchley vs Hemel Hempstead Town?
On our numbers Wingate & Finchley have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Hemel Hempstead Town 41%.
How many goals will there be in Wingate & Finchley vs Hemel Hempstead Town?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 35% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Wingate & Finchley vs Hemel Hempstead Town?
Our predicted score is Wingate & Finchley 0–0 Hemel Hempstead Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is Wingate & Finchley vs Hemel Hempstead Town?
Wingate & Finchley vs Hemel Hempstead Town (FA Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 22 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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