Value bet: Mes Rafsanjan to win @ 2.20 – our chance 51% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMes Rafsanjan to win ✗51% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.56
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗18% · fair 5.56
Naft Bandar Abbas vs Mes Rafsanjan preview and prediction
The match
Naft Bandar Abbas host Mes Rafsanjan in the Azadegan League on Tuesday 27 October, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT). Naft Bandar Abbas are 14th with 7 points from 9 games (in the bottom three), while Mes Rafsanjan sit 4th on 16 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Naft Bandar Abbas's last 5: LDLDW Most recently they lost to Ario Eslamshahr 0–4 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Mes Rafsanjan's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Niroye Zamini 4–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 0.2 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Mes Rafsanjan arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 0.7 for Naft Bandar Abbas and 1.2 for Mes Rafsanjan. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Naft Bandar Abbas 26%, draw 24%, Mes Rafsanjan 51%.
Both teams to score: no (54%) at 1.56.
Value angle: Mes Rafsanjan to win at 2.20 – 51% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.38. Predicted score: Naft Bandar Abbas 0–1 Mes Rafsanjan. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Naft Bandar Abbas26%fair 3.89 · @3.12
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @2.88
Mes Rafsanjan51%fair 1.97 · @2.20
1.88Expected goals
0.70Naft Bandar Abbas xG
1.17Mes Rafsanjan xG
46%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–118%
0–015%
1–113%
1–011%
0–211%
1–27%
From our goals model: Naft Bandar Abbas 0.7 – 1.2 Mes Rafsanjan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mes Rafsanjan to win✗
51%
1.97
2.20 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.56
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
1.09
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mes Rafsanjan / FT Mes Rafsanjan✗
27%
3.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
18%
5.56
–
Form
Naft Bandar Abbas – last 6
LDLDWD
20 Oct
@ Ario Eslamshahr
0–4
L
12 Oct
vs Havadar
1–1
D
5 Oct
@ Be'sat Kermanshah
1–2
L
28 Sep
vs Naft Gachsaran
0–0
D
22 Sep
@ Naft Masjed Soleyman
1–0
W
15 Sep
vs Shahin Bandar Ameri
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Mes Rafsanjan – last 6
WWWWDD
20 Oct
vs Niroye Zamini
4–1
W
12 Oct
@ Mes Kerman
1–0
W
5 Oct
vs Ario Eslamshahr
1–0
W
29 Sep
vs Be'sat Kermanshah
1–0
W
22 Sep
@ Mes Soongoun
0–0
D
16 Sep
vs Havadar
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Naft Bandar Abbas and Mes Rafsanjan.
What is the prediction for Naft Bandar Abbas vs Mes Rafsanjan?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Naft Bandar Abbas vs Mes Rafsanjan?
On our numbers Naft Bandar Abbas have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Mes Rafsanjan 51%.
How many goals will there be in Naft Bandar Abbas vs Mes Rafsanjan?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Naft Bandar Abbas vs Mes Rafsanjan?
Our predicted score is Naft Bandar Abbas 0–1 Mes Rafsanjan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Naft Bandar Abbas vs Mes Rafsanjan?
Naft Bandar Abbas vs Mes Rafsanjan (Azadegan League) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
