Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.77 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.77Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSaipa to win ✗62% · @1.77
Double chanceSaipa or draw ✗86% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓63% · fair 1.59
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗22% · fair 4.60
Saipa vs Naft Gachsaran preview and prediction
The match
Saipa host Naft Gachsaran in the Azadegan League on Tuesday 27 October, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT). Saipa are 10th with 12 points from 9 games (in the bottom half), while Naft Gachsaran sit 8th on 12 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Saipa's last 5: DLLWW Most recently they drew with Naft Masjed Soleyman 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Naft Gachsaran's last 5: WLDDL Most recently they beat Fard Alborz 4–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Saipa arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 May 2026, finished Naft Gachsaran 2–1 Saipa.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.4 for Saipa and 0.5 for Naft Gachsaran. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 70% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Saipa to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.77, above our fair price of 1.61, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Saipa 1–0 Naft Gachsaran. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Saipa62%fair 1.61 · @1.77
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.05
Naft Gachsaran14%fair 7.35 · @4.63
1.86Expected goals
1.40Saipa xG
0.46Naft Gachsaran xG
37%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–022%
0–016%
2–015%
1–110%
0–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Saipa 1.4 – 0.5 Naft Gachsaran expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Saipa vs Naft Gachsaran?
Our pick is Saipa to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.77.
Who will win Saipa vs Naft Gachsaran?
On our numbers Saipa have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Naft Gachsaran 14%.
How many goals will there be in Saipa vs Naft Gachsaran?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 37% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Saipa vs Naft Gachsaran?
Our predicted score is Saipa 1–0 Naft Gachsaran, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Saipa vs Naft Gachsaran?
Saipa vs Naft Gachsaran (Azadegan League) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
