Value bet: Shahin Bandar Ameri to win @ 3.62 – our chance 36% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +29%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMes Kerman to win ✗38% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.32
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.46
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 6.96
Mes Kerman vs Shahin Bandar Ameri preview and prediction
The match
The Azadegan League sees Mes Kerman take on Shahin Bandar Ameri on Monday 26 October, kicking off at 12:30 (WAT). Mes Kerman are 13th with 7 points from 9 games (in the bottom half), while Shahin Bandar Ameri sit 6th on 13 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Mes Kerman's last 5: LLDDL Most recently they lost to Shenavarsazi Qeshm 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Shahin Bandar Ameri's last 5: LLWDD Most recently they lost to Mes Soongoun 2–3 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Shahin Bandar Ameri arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.0 for Mes Kerman and 0.9 for Shahin Bandar Ameri. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 69% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Mes Kerman 38%, draw 26%, Shahin Bandar Ameri 36%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.46.
Value angle: Shahin Bandar Ameri to win at 3.62 – 36% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.31. Predicted score: Mes Kerman 0–0 Shahin Bandar Ameri. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mes Kerman38%fair 2.60 · @2.05
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @2.79
Shahin Bandar Ameri36%fair 2.81 · @3.62
1.93Expected goals
0.99Mes Kerman xG
0.94Shahin Bandar Ameri xG
49%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–014%
1–014%
0–114%
1–114%
2–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Mes Kerman 1.0 – 0.9 Shahin Bandar Ameri expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mes Kerman to win✗
38%
2.60
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.32
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
1.46
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.64
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.31
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.06
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
23%
4.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
6.96
–
Form
Mes Kerman – last 6
LLDDLD
20 Oct
@ Shenavarsazi Qeshm
0–1
L
12 Oct
vs Mes Rafsanjan
0–1
L
5 Oct
@ Niroye Zamini
0–0
D
28 Sep
@ Mes Soongoun
1–1
D
22 Sep
vs Saipa
0–1
L
15 Sep
@ Fard Alborz
1–1
D
0.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Shahin Bandar Ameri – last 6
LLWDDD
19 Oct
vs Mes Soongoun
2–3
L
11 Oct
@ Fard Alborz
0–3
L
4 Oct
vs Saipa
2–0
W
27 Sep
@ Novin Ahvaz
2–2
D
21 Sep
vs Pars Jonoubi JAM
0–0
D
15 Sep
@ Naft Bandar Abbas
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mes Kerman and Shahin Bandar Ameri.
What is the prediction for Mes Kerman vs Shahin Bandar Ameri?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.31.
Who will win Mes Kerman vs Shahin Bandar Ameri?
On our numbers Mes Kerman have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Shahin Bandar Ameri 36%.
How many goals will there be in Mes Kerman vs Shahin Bandar Ameri?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mes Kerman vs Shahin Bandar Ameri?
Our predicted score is Mes Kerman 0–0 Shahin Bandar Ameri, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Mes Kerman vs Shahin Bandar Ameri?
Mes Kerman vs Shahin Bandar Ameri (Azadegan League) kicks off on Monday 26 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
