Value bet: Fard Alborz to win @ 2.22 – our chance 52% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFard Alborz to win ✗52% · @2.22
Double chanceFard Alborz or draw ✓76% · @1.24
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.49
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.46
Fard Alborz vs Havadar preview and prediction
The match
Fard Alborz host Havadar in the Azadegan League on Monday 26 October, with kick-off at 12:30 (WAT). Fard Alborz are 3rd with 17 points from 9 games (in the top four), while Havadar sit 16th on 4 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Fard Alborz's last 5: LWLDW Most recently they lost to Naft Gachsaran 2–4 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Havadar's last 5: LDLLL Most recently they lost to Novin Ahvaz 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game.
Fard Alborz arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 February 2026, finished Havadar 1–0 Fard Alborz.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.2 for Fard Alborz and 0.7 for Havadar. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 69% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Fard Alborz to win at 2.22 – 52% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Fard Alborz or draw – a 76% chance at odds of 1.24. Predicted score: Fard Alborz 1–0 Havadar. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fard Alborz52%fair 1.91 · @2.22
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @2.80
Havadar24%fair 4.22 · @3.18
1.90Expected goals
1.22Fard Alborz xG
0.68Havadar xG
46%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
0–015%
1–112%
2–011%
0–110%
2–18%
From our goals model: Fard Alborz 1.2 – 0.7 Havadar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Fard Alborz vs Havadar?
Our pick is Fard Alborz or draw with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win Fard Alborz vs Havadar?
On our numbers Fard Alborz have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Havadar 24%.
How many goals will there be in Fard Alborz vs Havadar?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fard Alborz vs Havadar?
Our predicted score is Fard Alborz 1–0 Havadar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Fard Alborz vs Havadar?
Fard Alborz vs Havadar (Azadegan League) kicks off on Monday 26 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
