Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Lech Poznan prediction & analysis
62%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 2.20 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
2.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLech Poznan to win ✗72% · @1.15
Double chanceLech Poznan or draw ✗87% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @2.20
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✗73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–3 ✗7% · fair 14.02
Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Lech Poznan preview and prediction
The match
The Cup sees Siarka Tarnobrzeg take on Lech Poznan on Wednesday 28 October, kicking off at 12:30 (WAT) at Stadion Miejski.
Form guide
Siarka Tarnobrzeg's last 5: WWLLL Most recently they beat Moravia Morawica 3–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Lech Poznan's last 5: WDWLW Most recently they beat Legia Warszawa 2–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 5.0 goals: 1.6 for Siarka Tarnobrzeg and 3.4 for Lech Poznan. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 88% and both teams to score at 62%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Siarka Tarnobrzeg 13%, draw 15%, Lech Poznan 72%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 2.20.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 62% chance at odds of 2.20, above our fair price of 1.61, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Siarka Tarnobrzeg 1–3 Lech Poznan. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Siarka Tarnobrzeg13%fair 7.93 · @17.00
Draw15%fair 6.53 · @6.50
Lech Poznan72%fair 1.39 · @1.15
5.00Expected goals
1.56Siarka Tarnobrzeg xG
3.44Lech Poznan xG
62%Both score
88%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–37%
1–26%
1–46%
2–36%
2–25%
2–45%
From our goals model: Siarka Tarnobrzeg 1.6 – 3.4 Lech Poznan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lech Poznan to win✗
72%
1.39
1.15
Double chance
Lech Poznan or draw✗
87%
1.14
1.02
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.61
2.20 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
96%
1.04
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
–
Half-time result
Lech Poznan ahead at half-time✗
57%
1.76
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lech Poznan / FT Lech Poznan✗
51%
1.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–3✗
7%
14.02
–
Form
Siarka Tarnobrzeg – last 6
WWLLLW
24 Oct
@ Moravia Morawica
3–2
W
17 Oct
vs Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
4–0
W
9 Oct
@ Wiślanie Jaśkowice
1–4
L
3 Oct
vs Korona Kielce II
1–2
L
26 Sep
@ Star Starachowice
1–4
L
19 Sep
vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Lech Poznan – last 6
WDWLWD
25 Oct
@ Legia Warszawa
2–1
W
22 Oct
vs Sunderland
1–1
D
18 Oct
vs Korona Kielce
6–1
W
15 Oct
vs Bayer Leverkusen
0–4
L
10 Oct
@ Slask Wroclaw
4–1
W
3 Oct
vs Energie Cottbus
2–2
D
2.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Siarka Tarnobrzeg and Lech Poznan.
What is the prediction for Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Lech Poznan?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.20.
Who will win Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Lech Poznan?
On our numbers Siarka Tarnobrzeg have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Lech Poznan 72%.
How many goals will there be in Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Lech Poznan?
We expect about 5.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 88% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Lech Poznan?
Our predicted score is Siarka Tarnobrzeg 1–3 Lech Poznan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 5.0 goals in total.
When is Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Lech Poznan?
Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Lech Poznan (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.