Thursday, 12 November 2026 1 live now Results recordAccuracyHow it works18+ · Bet responsibly
Cup · Poland · Stadion Miejski
1–0
FT

Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Lech Poznan prediction & analysis

62%
Footrivo pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 2.20 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
2.20Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultLech Poznan to win ✗72% · @1.15
Double chanceLech Poznan or draw ✗87% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @2.20
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✗73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–3 ✗7% · fair 14.02

Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Lech Poznan preview and prediction

The match

The Cup sees Siarka Tarnobrzeg take on Lech Poznan on Wednesday 28 October, kicking off at 12:30 (WAT) at Stadion Miejski.

Form guide

Siarka Tarnobrzeg's last 5: WWLLL Most recently they beat Moravia Morawica 3–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.

Lech Poznan's last 5: WDWLW Most recently they beat Legia Warszawa 2–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 5.0 goals: 1.6 for Siarka Tarnobrzeg and 3.4 for Lech Poznan. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 88% and both teams to score at 62%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 62% chance at odds of 2.20, above our fair price of 1.61, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Siarka Tarnobrzeg 1–3 Lech Poznan. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Siarka Tarnobrzeg13%fair 7.93 · @17.00
Draw15%fair 6.53 · @6.50
Lech Poznan72%fair 1.39 · @1.15
5.00Expected goals
1.56Siarka Tarnobrzeg xG
3.44Lech Poznan xG
62%Both score
88%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–37%
1–26%
1–46%
2–36%
2–25%
2–45%

From our goals model: Siarka Tarnobrzeg 1.6 – 3.4 Lech Poznan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLech Poznan to win ✗72%1.391.15
Double chanceLech Poznan or draw ✗87%1.141.02
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗62%1.612.20 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗96%1.04–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗88%1.14–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗73%1.36–
Half-time resultLech Poznan ahead at half-time ✗57%1.76–
Half-time / full-timeHT Lech Poznan / FT Lech Poznan ✗51%1.95–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–3 ✗7%14.02–

Form

Siarka Tarnobrzeg – last 6

WWLLLW
24 Oct@ Moravia Morawica3–2W
17 Octvs Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów4–0W
9 Oct@ Wiślanie Jaśkowice1–4L
3 Octvs Korona Kielce II1–2L
26 Sep@ Star Starachowice1–4L
19 Sepvs Podlasie Biała Podlaska2–0W
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Lech Poznan – last 6

WDWLWD
25 Oct@ Legia Warszawa2–1W
22 Octvs Sunderland1–1D
18 Octvs Korona Kielce6–1W
15 Octvs Bayer Leverkusen0–4L
10 Oct@ Slask Wroclaw4–1W
3 Octvs Energie Cottbus2–2D
2.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Siarka Tarnobrzeg and Lech Poznan.

Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Lech Poznan head-to-head page →

More Cup predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Lech Poznan?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.20.

Who will win Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Lech Poznan?

On our numbers Siarka Tarnobrzeg have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Lech Poznan 72%.

How many goals will there be in Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Lech Poznan?

We expect about 5.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 88% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Lech Poznan?

Our predicted score is Siarka Tarnobrzeg 1–3 Lech Poznan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 5.0 goals in total.

When is Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Lech Poznan?

Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Lech Poznan (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.