Lechia Gdansk vs Jagiellonia prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Jagiellonia to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.65Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultJagiellonia to win ✓65% · @1.65
Double chanceJagiellonia or draw ✓85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗11% · fair 9.04
Lechia Gdansk vs Jagiellonia preview and prediction
The match
The Cup sees Lechia Gdansk take on Jagiellonia on Wednesday 28 October, kicking off at 20:30 (WAT) at Polsat Plus Arena.
Form guide
Lechia Gdansk's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Puszcza Niepołomice 1–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.8 per game.
Jagiellonia's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Wisla Plock 1–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Lechia Gdansk arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 March 2026, finished Lechia Gdansk 3–0 Jagiellonia.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 0.9 for Lechia Gdansk and 2.1 for Jagiellonia. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Jagiellonia to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.65, above our fair price of 1.53, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Lechia Gdansk 0–2 Jagiellonia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lechia Gdansk15%fair 6.72 · @4.60
Draw20%fair 5.07 · @3.50
Jagiellonia65%fair 1.53 · @1.65
3.00Expected goals
0.89Lechia Gdansk xG
2.11Jagiellonia xG
60%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–211%
0–110%
1–210%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Lechia Gdansk 0.9 – 2.1 Jagiellonia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Lechia Gdansk vs Jagiellonia?
Our pick is Jagiellonia to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Lechia Gdansk vs Jagiellonia?
On our numbers Lechia Gdansk have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Jagiellonia 65%.
How many goals will there be in Lechia Gdansk vs Jagiellonia?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lechia Gdansk vs Jagiellonia?
Our predicted score is Lechia Gdansk 0–2 Jagiellonia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Lechia Gdansk vs Jagiellonia?
Lechia Gdansk vs Jagiellonia (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Polsat Plus Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Sokół Kleczew2
Podhale Nowy Targ1
Siarka Tarnobrzeg1
Lech Poznan0
Znicz Pruszków0
Ruch Chorzów1
Puszcza Niepołomice1
Wisla Plock1
Tychy 712
Pogoń Siedlce2
Polonia Środa3
Śląsk Wrocław II1