The DBU Pokalen sees Roskilde take on Aarhus on Wednesday 28 October, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Roskilde's last 5: WDWWD Most recently they beat Fremad Amager 4–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 3.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Aarhus's last 5: WDDLW Most recently they beat Viborg 2–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Roskilde arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 5.0 goals: 1.8 for Roskilde and 3.2 for Aarhus. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 88% likely and both teams score in 69% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Roskilde 17%, draw 18%, Aarhus 65%.
Both teams to score: yes (69%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 69% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.46, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Roskilde 1–3 Aarhus. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Roskilde17%fair 5.77 · @6.00
Draw18%fair 5.60 · @4.20
Aarhus65%fair 1.54 · @1.36
5.00Expected goals
1.78Roskilde xG
3.22Aarhus xG
69%Both score
88%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–37%
1–26%
2–36%
2–26%
1–45%
2–45%
From our goals model: Roskilde 1.8 – 3.2 Aarhus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aarhus to win✓
65%
1.54
1.36
Double chance
Aarhus or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
69%
1.46
1.70 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
–
Half-time result
Aarhus ahead at half-time✗
52%
1.93
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aarhus / FT Aarhus✗
45%
2.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–3✗
7%
14.97
–
Form
Roskilde – last 6
WDWWDW
23 Oct
vs Fremad Amager
4–0
W
17 Oct
@ Middelfart
3–3
D
10 Oct
vs Skive
3–0
W
4 Oct
@ Thisted FC
2–0
W
25 Sep
@ HIK
1–1
D
18 Sep
vs FA 2000
5–1
W
3.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Aarhus – last 6
WDDLWW
25 Oct
vs Viborg
2–1
W
22 Oct
vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë
1–1
D
18 Oct
@ FC Copenhagen
1–1
D
15 Oct
@ Gent
0–1
L
12 Oct
vs Sonderjyske
3–0
W
2 Oct
vs Vendsyssel FF
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Roskilde and Aarhus.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Roskilde vs Aarhus?
On our numbers Roskilde have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Aarhus 65%.
How many goals will there be in Roskilde vs Aarhus?
We expect about 5.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 88% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Roskilde vs Aarhus?
Our predicted score is Roskilde 1–3 Aarhus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 5.0 goals in total.
When is Roskilde vs Aarhus?
Roskilde vs Aarhus (DBU Pokalen) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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