Double chanceFC Nordsjaelland or draw ✓87% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗68% · @1.62
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✗73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–3 ✗7% · fair 14.69
Esbjerg vs FC Nordsjaelland preview and prediction
The match
Esbjerg host FC Nordsjaelland in the DBU Pokalen on Wednesday 28 October, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Blue Water Arena.
Form guide
Esbjerg's last 5: WDDLW Most recently they beat FC Fredericia 2–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
FC Nordsjaelland's last 5: DDDDD Most recently they drew with Silkeborg 1–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Esbjerg arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 5.0 goals: 1.7 for Esbjerg and 3.3 for FC Nordsjaelland. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 88% likely and both teams score in 68% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Esbjerg 13%, draw 23%, FC Nordsjaelland 64%.
Both teams to score: yes (68%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 68% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.47, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Esbjerg 1–3 FC Nordsjaelland. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Esbjerg13%fair 7.67 · @6.00
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @4.00
FC Nordsjaelland64%fair 1.57 · @1.40
5.00Expected goals
1.72Esbjerg xG
3.28FC Nordsjaelland xG
68%Both score
88%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–37%
1–26%
2–36%
1–46%
2–25%
2–45%
From our goals model: Esbjerg 1.7 – 3.3 FC Nordsjaelland expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Nordsjaelland to win✓
64%
1.57
1.40
Double chance
FC Nordsjaelland or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
68%
1.47
1.62 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
96%
1.04
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
–
Half-time result
FC Nordsjaelland ahead at half-time✓
53%
1.88
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Nordsjaelland / FT FC Nordsjaelland✓
47%
2.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–3✗
7%
14.69
–
Form
Esbjerg – last 6
WDDLWD
24 Oct
vs FC Fredericia
2–1
W
16 Oct
@ Aarhus Fremad
0–0
D
10 Oct
vs Aalborg
3–3
D
19 Sep
@ AB Copenhagen
0–3
L
15 Sep
@ HIK
5–0
W
12 Sep
vs HB Koge
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
FC Nordsjaelland – last 6
DDDDDL
25 Oct
@ Silkeborg
1–1
D
22 Oct
vs CSKA Sofia
2–2
D
18 Oct
@ Lyngby
3–3
D
15 Oct
@ Heart Of Midlothian
1–1
D
9 Oct
vs Odense
0–0
D
3 Oct
@ Malmo FF
0–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Esbjerg and FC Nordsjaelland.
What is the prediction for Esbjerg vs FC Nordsjaelland?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Esbjerg vs FC Nordsjaelland?
On our numbers Esbjerg have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 23% and FC Nordsjaelland 64%.
How many goals will there be in Esbjerg vs FC Nordsjaelland?
We expect about 5.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 88% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Esbjerg vs FC Nordsjaelland?
Our predicted score is Esbjerg 1–3 FC Nordsjaelland, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 5.0 goals in total.
When is Esbjerg vs FC Nordsjaelland?
Esbjerg vs FC Nordsjaelland (DBU Pokalen) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Blue Water Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Brabrand0
AC Horsens0
Roskilde1
Aarhus2