Liverpool host Chelsea in the League Cup on Wednesday 28 October, with kick-off at 21:00 (WAT) at Anfield.
Form guide
Liverpool's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Brighton 2–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Chelsea's last 5: LWWLD Most recently they lost to Tottenham 0–2 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Liverpool arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 9 May 2026, finished Liverpool 1–1 Chelsea.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 5.0 goals: 2.6 for Liverpool and 2.4 for Chelsea. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 88% likely and both teams score in 72% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Liverpool 42%, draw 22%, Chelsea 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (72%) at 1.40.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 72% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Liverpool 2–2 Chelsea. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Liverpool42%fair 2.41 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.60
Chelsea36%fair 2.75 · @2.90
5.00Expected goals
2.57Liverpool xG
2.43Chelsea xG
72%Both score
88%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–27%
3–26%
2–15%
2–35%
1–25%
3–15%
From our goals model: Liverpool 2.6 – 2.4 Chelsea expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Liverpool vs Chelsea?
On our numbers Liverpool have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Chelsea 36%.
How many goals will there be in Liverpool vs Chelsea?
We expect about 5.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 88% likely and both teams score 72% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Liverpool vs Chelsea?
Our predicted score is Liverpool 2–2 Chelsea, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 5.0 goals in total.
When is Liverpool vs Chelsea?
Liverpool vs Chelsea (League Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Anfield.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.