Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.72
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.16
Union Comercio vs Molinos El Pirata preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda División sees Union Comercio take on Molinos El Pirata on Sunday 27 September, kicking off at 21:15 (WAT) at Estadio Municipal Carlos Vidaurre Garcia. Union Comercio are 1st with 32 points from 16 games (top of the table), while Molinos El Pirata sit 4th on 25 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Union Comercio's last 5: LWDDW Most recently they lost to Deportiva Agropecuaria 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Molinos El Pirata's last 5: DLDLD Most recently they drew with Deportivo Llacuabamba 0–0 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Union Comercio arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 August 2026, finished Molinos El Pirata 1–2 Union Comercio.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.8 for Union Comercio and 0.6 for Molinos El Pirata. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 42%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Union Comercio 69%, draw 17%, Molinos El Pirata 13%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Union Comercio to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Union Comercio 1–0 Molinos El Pirata. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Union Comercio69%fair 1.44 · @1.33
Draw17%fair 5.76 · @4.20
Molinos El Pirata13%fair 7.58 · @7.50
2.43Expected goals
1.84Union Comercio xG
0.59Molinos El Pirata xG
42%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–015%
1–110%
3–09%
0–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: Union Comercio 1.8 – 0.6 Molinos El Pirata expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Union Comercio vs Molinos El Pirata?
Our pick is Union Comercio to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Union Comercio vs Molinos El Pirata?
On our numbers Union Comercio have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Molinos El Pirata 13%.
How many goals will there be in Union Comercio vs Molinos El Pirata?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union Comercio vs Molinos El Pirata?
Our predicted score is Union Comercio 1–0 Molinos El Pirata, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Union Comercio vs Molinos El Pirata?
Union Comercio vs Molinos El Pirata (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 21:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Carlos Vidaurre Garcia.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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