Alianza Universidad vs Bentín Tacna Heroica prediction & analysis
60%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
2
Value bet: Bentín Tacna Heroica to win @ 3.10 – our chance 34% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAlianza Universidad to win ✗42% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.81
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.91
Alianza Universidad vs Bentín Tacna Heroica preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda División sees Alianza Universidad take on Bentín Tacna Heroica on Sunday 27 September, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Estadio Heraclio Tapia. Alianza Universidad are 5th with 21 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Bentín Tacna Heroica sit 1st on 29 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Alianza Universidad's last 5: DDLWD Most recently they drew with Deportivo Binacional 0–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Bentín Tacna Heroica's last 5: DWLWD Most recently they drew with Estudiantil CNI 1–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Bentín Tacna Heroica arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 24 August 2026, finished Alianza Universidad 1–0 Bentín Tacna Heroica.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.2 for Alianza Universidad and 1.0 for Bentín Tacna Heroica. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 45%.
Value angle: Bentín Tacna Heroica to win at 3.10 – 34% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 60% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Alianza Universidad 1–1 Bentín Tacna Heroica. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Alianza Universidad42%fair 2.38 · @2.10
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.20
Bentín Tacna Heroica34%fair 2.92 · @3.10
2.25Expected goals
1.20Alianza Universidad xG
1.05Bentín Tacna Heroica xG
45%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Alianza Universidad 1.2 – 1.0 Bentín Tacna Heroica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Alianza Universidad vs Bentín Tacna Heroica?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Alianza Universidad vs Bentín Tacna Heroica?
On our numbers Alianza Universidad have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Bentín Tacna Heroica 34%.
How many goals will there be in Alianza Universidad vs Bentín Tacna Heroica?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alianza Universidad vs Bentín Tacna Heroica?
Our predicted score is Alianza Universidad 1–1 Bentín Tacna Heroica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Alianza Universidad vs Bentín Tacna Heroica?
Alianza Universidad vs Bentín Tacna Heroica (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Heraclio Tapia.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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