Lebanon travel to Dolen Omurzakov Stadium in the Friendlies on Thursday 1 October (15:00 WAT) to face Maldives.
Form guide
Maldives's last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to Kyrgyzstan 0–5 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.6 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.3 for Maldives and 1.5 for Lebanon. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 52%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Maldives 39%, draw 15%, Lebanon 46%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 3.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 52% chance at odds of 3.50, above our fair price of 1.94, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Maldives 1–1 Lebanon. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Maldives39%fair 2.57 · @1.05
Draw15%fair 6.81 · @13.00
Lebanon46%fair 2.16 · @41.00
2.80Expected goals
1.32Maldives xG
1.48Lebanon xG
52%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Maldives 1.3 – 1.5 Lebanon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lebanon to win✓
46%
2.16
41.00 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
85%
1.17
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.94
3.50 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lebanon / FT Lebanon✓
24%
4.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
11.09
–
Form
Maldives – last 5
LLDLW
28 Sep
@ Kyrgyzstan
0–5
L
24 Sep
@ China
0–3
L
7 Jun
vs Bangladesh U23
1–1
D
4 Jun
vs Pakistan
0–3
L
31 Mar
vs Timor-Leste
2–1
W
0.6Scored / game
2.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Lebanon – last 1
L
4 Jun
vs Yemen
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Maldives and Lebanon.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 3.50.
Who will win Maldives vs Lebanon?
On our numbers Maldives have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Lebanon 46%.
How many goals will there be in Maldives vs Lebanon?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maldives vs Lebanon?
Our predicted score is Maldives 1–1 Lebanon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Maldives vs Lebanon?
Maldives vs Lebanon (Friendlies) kicks off on Thursday 1 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Dolen Omurzakov Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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