Uzbekistan vs Syria prediction & analysis
Uzbekistan to win
Strong pick · fair odds 1.46 · bookmaker 1.35 · Won ✓
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.38 – our chance 55% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +32%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Uzbekistan 2.6 – 1.1 Syria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Uzbekistan are clear favourites at home with a 68% chance of winning, against 11% for Syria.
Uzbekistan have taken 3 points from their last 6 matches (1W 0D 5L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 2.7 per game. Syria have 4 points from their last 3 (1W 1D 1L), averaging 2.3 scored and 2.0 conceded. Syria come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.7 goals (2.6 for Uzbekistan, 1.1 for Syria). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 2–1 (9%), 2–0 (9%), 3–1 (8%).
Our pick is Uzbekistan to win at a 68% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.35 is close to our fair price of 1.46. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 2.38 is our value angle (55% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Uzbekistan to win ✓ | 68% | 1.46 | 1.35 |
| Double chance | Uzbekistan or draw ✓ | 89% | 1.12 | 1.06 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 55% | 1.80 | 2.38 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 88% | 1.13 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 72% | 1.40 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals ✓ | 51% | 1.97 | – |
| Half-time result | Uzbekistan ahead at half-time ✓ | 53% | 1.88 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Uzbekistan / FT Uzbekistan ✓ | 48% | 2.08 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 9% | 10.95 | – |
Form
Uzbekistan – last 6
| 24 Sep | vs Iran | 3–1 | W |
| 28 Jun | @ Congo DR | 1–3 | L |
| 23 Jun | @ Portugal | 0–5 | L |
| 18 Jun | vs Colombia | 1–3 | L |
| 8 Jun | @ Netherlands | 1–2 | L |
| 2 Jun | @ Canada | 0–2 | L |
Syria – last 3
| 27 Sep | @ Jordan | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Jun | @ Belarus | 1–4 | L |
| 31 Mar | vs Afghanistan | 5–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Uzbekistan and Syria.
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United States U200Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Uzbekistan vs Syria?
Our pick is Uzbekistan to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Uzbekistan vs Syria?
On our numbers Uzbekistan have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Syria 11%.
How many goals will there be in Uzbekistan vs Syria?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
When is Uzbekistan vs Syria?
Uzbekistan vs Syria (Friendlies) kicks off on Thursday 1 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.