Value bet: Borussia Mönchengladbach to win @ 2.35 – our chance 47% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBorussia Mönchengladbach to win ✗47% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · fair 1.24
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.75
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · @1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.12
FC St. Pauli vs Borussia Mönchengladbach preview and prediction
The match
Borussia Mönchengladbach travel to face FC St. Pauli in the Friendlies Clubs on Saturday 3 October (14:30 WAT).
Form guide
FC St. Pauli's last 5: DWDLL Most recently they drew with Energie Cottbus 1–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Borussia Mönchengladbach's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to FSV Mainz 05 3–4 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 March 2026, finished Borussia Mönchengladbach 2–0 FC St. Pauli.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.8 goals: 1.7 for FC St. Pauli and 2.1 for Borussia Mönchengladbach. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score in 57% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC St. Pauli 34%, draw 19%, Borussia Mönchengladbach 47%.
Value angle: Borussia Mönchengladbach to win at 2.35 – 47% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.50, above our fair price of 1.47, so there is value in it. Predicted score: FC St. Pauli 1–2 Borussia Mönchengladbach. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC St. Pauli34%fair 2.98 · @2.38
Draw19%fair 5.25 · @3.75
Borussia Mönchengladbach47%fair 2.11 · @2.35
3.83Expected goals
1.74FC St. Pauli xG
2.09Borussia Mönchengladbach xG
57%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–28%
1–18%
2–27%
2–17%
1–36%
2–35%
From our goals model: FC St. Pauli 1.7 – 2.1 Borussia Mönchengladbach expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Borussia Mönchengladbach to win✗
47%
2.11
2.35 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
81%
1.24
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
–
Half-time result
Borussia Mönchengladbach ahead at half-time✓
37%
2.68
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Borussia Mönchengladbach / FT Borussia Mönchengladbach✗
What is the prediction for FC St. Pauli vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win FC St. Pauli vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
On our numbers FC St. Pauli have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Borussia Mönchengladbach 47%.
How many goals will there be in FC St. Pauli vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC St. Pauli vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
Our predicted score is FC St. Pauli 1–2 Borussia Mönchengladbach, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is FC St. Pauli vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
FC St. Pauli vs Borussia Mönchengladbach (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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