VfB Stuttgart vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth preview and prediction
The match
SpVgg Greuther Fürth travel to face VfB Stuttgart in the Friendlies Clubs on Thursday 1 October (16:30 WAT).
Form guide
VfB Stuttgart's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat 1. FC Heidenheim 3–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth's last 5: DDLWL Most recently they drew with 1. FC Magdeburg 1–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded.
VfB Stuttgart arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.7 goals: 2.7 for VfB Stuttgart and 1.0 for SpVgg Greuther Fürth. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 69% and both teams to score at 62%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: VfB Stuttgart 2–1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
VfB Stuttgart71%fair 1.40 · @1.33
Draw18%fair 5.57 · @5.00
SpVgg Greuther Fürth11%fair 9.41 · @6.00
3.67Expected goals
2.67VfB Stuttgart xG
1.00SpVgg Greuther Fürth xG
62%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
2–09%
3–18%
3–08%
1–17%
1–07%
From our goals model: VfB Stuttgart 2.7 – 1.0 SpVgg Greuther Fürth expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
VfB Stuttgart to win✓
71%
1.40
1.33
Double chance
VfB Stuttgart or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.62
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.11
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.73
Half-time result
VfB Stuttgart ahead at half-time✓
54%
1.84
–
Half-time / full-time
HT VfB Stuttgart / FT VfB Stuttgart✓
50%
2.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.00
–
Form
VfB Stuttgart – last 6
WLLWWL
25 Sep
vs 1. FC Heidenheim
3–0
W
19 Sep
vs Borussia Dortmund
0–1
L
12 Sep
@ 1899 Hoffenheim
1–2
L
9 Sep
vs Viking
3–1
W
4 Sep
vs 1. FC Köln
4–1
W
28 Aug
@ Bayern München
1–5
L
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
SpVgg Greuther Fürth – last 6
DDLWLL
18 Sep
vs 1. FC Magdeburg
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ VfL Bochum
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs 1. FC Heidenheim
0–1
L
29 Aug
@ Energie Cottbus
4–3
W
23 Aug
vs VfL Bochum
1–2
L
15 Aug
vs 1. FC Nürnberg
2–4
L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between VfB Stuttgart and SpVgg Greuther Fürth.
What is the prediction for VfB Stuttgart vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win VfB Stuttgart vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
On our numbers VfB Stuttgart have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 18% and SpVgg Greuther Fürth 11%.
How many goals will there be in VfB Stuttgart vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for VfB Stuttgart vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
Our predicted score is VfB Stuttgart 2–1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is VfB Stuttgart vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
VfB Stuttgart vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Thursday 1 October 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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