DC United vs SC Paderborn 07 prediction & analysis
59%
Footrivo pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.53Odds
2
Value bet: SC Paderborn 07 to win @ 2.30 – our chance 49% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSC Paderborn 07 to win ✓49% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.97
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.64
DC United vs SC Paderborn 07 preview and prediction
The match
DC United host SC Paderborn 07 in the Friendlies Clubs on Thursday 1 October, with kick-off at 00:30 (WAT).
Form guide
DC United's last 5: DLDWD Most recently they drew with Vancouver Whitecaps 3–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
SC Paderborn 07's last 5: WLLDW Most recently they beat 1899 Hoffenheim 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.3 for DC United and 1.7 for SC Paderborn 07. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 59% and both teams to score at 51%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: DC United 30%, draw 21%, SC Paderborn 07 49%.
Value angle: SC Paderborn 07 to win at 2.30 – 49% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 59% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: DC United 1–2 SC Paderborn 07. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
DC United30%fair 3.28 · @2.60
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @3.40
SC Paderborn 0749%fair 2.04 · @2.30
3.00Expected goals
1.29DC United xG
1.71SC Paderborn 07 xG
51%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
0–27%
2–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: DC United 1.3 – 1.7 SC Paderborn 07 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SC Paderborn 07 to win✓
49%
2.04
2.30 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.54
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SC Paderborn 07 / FT SC Paderborn 07✓
29%
3.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.64
–
Form
DC United – last 6
DLDWDL
27 Sep
@ Vancouver Whitecaps
3–3
D
20 Sep
vs Charlotte
1–2
L
13 Sep
vs Atlanta United FC
0–0
D
10 Sep
vs Columbus Crew
2–1
W
30 Aug
vs Los Angeles FC
0–0
D
23 Aug
@ Charlotte
1–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
SC Paderborn 07 – last 6
WLLDWD
20 Sep
vs 1899 Hoffenheim
3–1
W
12 Sep
@ Borussia Dortmund
0–3
L
5 Sep
vs SC Freiburg
0–1
L
29 Aug
@ FSV Mainz 05
0–0
D
23 Aug
@ Phönix Lübeck
4–2
W
8 Aug
@ Werder Bremen
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between DC United and SC Paderborn 07.
What is the prediction for DC United vs SC Paderborn 07?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win DC United vs SC Paderborn 07?
On our numbers DC United have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 21% and SC Paderborn 07 49%.
How many goals will there be in DC United vs SC Paderborn 07?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for DC United vs SC Paderborn 07?
Our predicted score is DC United 1–2 SC Paderborn 07, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is DC United vs SC Paderborn 07?
DC United vs SC Paderborn 07 (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Thursday 1 October 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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