Value bet: Jamaica to win @ 3.60 – our chance 36% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +29%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultHonduras to win ✗39% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.70
Honduras vs Jamaica preview and prediction
The match
Honduras host Jamaica in the CONCACAF Nations League on Tuesday 6 October, with kick-off at 03:00 (WAT) at Estadio Tiburcio Carias Andino.
Form guide
Honduras's last 5: LWLLD Most recently they lost to Martinique 1–2 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Jamaica's last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat El Salvador 2–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Jamaica arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 29 September 2026, finished Jamaica 0–1 Honduras.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.4 for Honduras and 1.4 for Jamaica. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Honduras 39%, draw 25%, Jamaica 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.91.
Value angle: Jamaica to win at 3.60 – 36% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 55% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.83, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Honduras 1–1 Jamaica. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Honduras39%fair 2.58 · @2.05
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.00
Jamaica36%fair 2.79 · @3.60
2.83Expected goals
1.45Honduras xG
1.38Jamaica xG
55%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%
From our goals model: Honduras 1.4 – 1.4 Jamaica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Honduras vs Jamaica?
On our numbers Honduras have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Jamaica 36%.
How many goals will there be in Honduras vs Jamaica?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Honduras vs Jamaica?
Our predicted score is Honduras 1–1 Jamaica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Honduras vs Jamaica?
Honduras vs Jamaica (CONCACAF Nations League) kicks off on Tuesday 6 October 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Tiburcio Carias Andino.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Bermuda1
Barbados2
Grenada1
Bonaire4
Guatemala1
Suriname0
St. Vincent Grenadines4
Sint Maarten0