Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Guatemala to win @ 1.85 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultGuatemala to win ✓60% · @1.85
Double chanceGuatemala or draw ✓81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.09
Guatemala vs Suriname preview and prediction
The match
Guatemala host Suriname in the CONCACAF Nations League on Tuesday 6 October, with kick-off at 01:00 (WAT) at Estadio Manuel Felipe Carrera.
Form guide
Guatemala's last 5: DWLLL Most recently they drew with Suriname 0–0 away. They average 1.5 scored and 2.7 conceded.
Suriname's last 4: DWWL Most recently they drew with Guatemala 0–0 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Suriname arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 2 October 2026, finished Suriname 0–0 Guatemala.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.1 for Guatemala and 1.1 for Suriname. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 61% and both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Guatemala to win at 1.85 – 60% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Guatemala or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Guatemala 2–1 Suriname. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Guatemala60%fair 1.66 · @1.85
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.40
Suriname19%fair 5.41 · @3.75
3.17Expected goals
2.09Guatemala xG
1.08Suriname xG
60%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–09%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Guatemala 2.1 – 1.1 Suriname expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Guatemala or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Guatemala vs Suriname?
On our numbers Guatemala have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Suriname 19%.
How many goals will there be in Guatemala vs Suriname?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guatemala vs Suriname?
Our predicted score is Guatemala 2–1 Suriname, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Guatemala vs Suriname?
Guatemala vs Suriname (CONCACAF Nations League) kicks off on Tuesday 6 October 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Manuel Felipe Carrera.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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