Curaçao vs Trinidad and Tobago prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Curaçao to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.73Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.91 – our chance 63% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCuraçao to win ✓66% · @1.73
Double chanceCuraçao or draw ✓86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.91
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗6% · fair 16.65
Curaçao vs Trinidad and Tobago preview and prediction
The match
Trinidad and Tobago travel to Ergilio Hato Stadium in the CONCACAF Nations League on Thursday 1 October (23:00 WAT) to face Curaçao.
Form guide
Curaçao's last 5: WWLDL Most recently they beat Nicaragua 6–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Trinidad and Tobago's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Dominican Republic 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 5 of their last 5. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Curaçao arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 5.5 goals: 3.6 for Curaçao and 1.9 for Trinidad and Tobago. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 91% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Curaçao 66%, draw 20%, Trinidad and Tobago 14%.
Safer route: Curaçao or draw (86%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.91.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.91 – 63% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Curaçao to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.51, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Curaçao 3–1 Trinidad and Tobago. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Curaçao66%fair 1.51 · @1.73
Draw20%fair 5.11 · @3.40
Trinidad and Tobago14%fair 6.94 · @4.60
5.50Expected goals
3.58Curaçao xG
1.92Trinidad and Tobago xG
63%Both score
91%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
3–16%
3–26%
4–15%
4–25%
2–15%
2–25%
From our goals model: Curaçao 3.6 – 1.9 Trinidad and Tobago expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Curaçao to win✓
66%
1.51
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Curaçao or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.58
1.91 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
97%
1.03
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
–
Half-time result
Curaçao ahead at half-time✗
54%
1.84
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Curaçao / FT Curaçao✗
48%
2.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–1✗
6%
16.65
–
Form
Curaçao – last 6
WWLDLW
28 Sep
vs Nicaragua
6–1
W
25 Sep
@ Costa Rica
4–3
W
25 Jun
vs Ivory Coast
0–2
L
21 Jun
@ Ecuador
0–0
D
14 Jun
@ Germany
1–7
L
7 Jun
vs Aruba
4–0
W
2.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Trinidad and Tobago – last 6
LLLLLL
28 Sep
vs Dominican Republic
1–2
L
25 Sep
@ Haiti
2–3
L
26 Jul
@ Louisville City
0–1
L
9 Jun
@ Russia
0–3
L
31 May
@ South Korea
0–5
L
27 Mar
@ Venezuela
1–4
L
0.7Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Curaçao and Trinidad and Tobago.
What is the prediction for Curaçao vs Trinidad and Tobago?
Our pick is Curaçao to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Curaçao vs Trinidad and Tobago?
On our numbers Curaçao have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Trinidad and Tobago 14%.
How many goals will there be in Curaçao vs Trinidad and Tobago?
We expect about 5.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 91% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Curaçao vs Trinidad and Tobago?
Our predicted score is Curaçao 3–1 Trinidad and Tobago, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 5.5 goals in total.
When is Curaçao vs Trinidad and Tobago?
Curaçao vs Trinidad and Tobago (CONCACAF Nations League) kicks off on Thursday 1 October 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Ergilio Hato Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
British Virgin Islands0
Montserrat2
US Virgin Islands0
Saint Martin5
Dominica1
Guyana5