US Virgin Islands vs Saint Martin prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSaint Martin to win ✓68% · @1.29
Double chanceSaint Martin or draw ✓88% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.75
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.58
US Virgin Islands vs Saint Martin preview and prediction
The match
The CONCACAF Nations League sees US Virgin Islands take on Saint Martin on Thursday 1 October, kicking off at 21:00 (WAT) at Bethlehem Soccer Stadium.
Form guide
US Virgin Islands's last 3: WWW Most recently they beat Bahamas 3–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 3.3 per game.
Saint Martin's last 4: LWWW Most recently they lost to US Virgin Islands 0–2 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 3.5 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
US Virgin Islands arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 2.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 26 September 2026, finished Saint Martin 0–2 US Virgin Islands.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 1.2 for US Virgin Islands and 2.8 for Saint Martin. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 76% and both teams to score at 64%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: US Virgin Islands 12%, draw 21%, Saint Martin 68%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 64% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.56, so there is value in it. Predicted score: US Virgin Islands 1–2 Saint Martin. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
US Virgin Islands12%fair 8.50 · @9.50
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @5.00
Saint Martin68%fair 1.48 · @1.29
4.00Expected goals
1.22US Virgin Islands xG
2.78Saint Martin xG
64%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
1–38%
0–27%
0–37%
1–16%
1–46%
From our goals model: US Virgin Islands 1.2 – 2.8 Saint Martin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for US Virgin Islands vs Saint Martin?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win US Virgin Islands vs Saint Martin?
On our numbers US Virgin Islands have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Saint Martin 68%.
How many goals will there be in US Virgin Islands vs Saint Martin?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for US Virgin Islands vs Saint Martin?
Our predicted score is US Virgin Islands 1–2 Saint Martin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is US Virgin Islands vs Saint Martin?
US Virgin Islands vs Saint Martin (CONCACAF Nations League) kicks off on Thursday 1 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Bethlehem Soccer Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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