Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.91
Tre Penne vs Tre Fiori preview and prediction
The match
Tre Fiori travel to face Tre Penne in the Campionato on Friday 23 October (20:15 WAT). Tre Penne are 2nd with 20 points from 8 games (in the top four), while Tre Fiori sit 4th on 17 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Tre Penne's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Domagnano 2–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Tre Fiori's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat San Giovanni 1–0 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Tre Penne arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 2.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 February 2026, finished Tre Fiori 0–2 Tre Penne.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.6 for Tre Penne and 1.3 for Tre Fiori. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 52% and both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tre Penne 46%, draw 21%, Tre Fiori 33%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 52% chance at odds of 2.00, above our fair price of 1.93, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Tre Penne 2–1 Tre Fiori. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tre Penne46%fair 2.16 · @2.15
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.30
Tre Fiori33%fair 3.04 · @2.90
2.93Expected goals
1.62Tre Penne xG
1.32Tre Fiori xG
51%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
1–27%
0–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Tre Penne 1.6 – 1.3 Tre Fiori expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Tre Penne vs Tre Fiori?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Tre Penne vs Tre Fiori?
On our numbers Tre Penne have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Tre Fiori 33%.
How many goals will there be in Tre Penne vs Tre Fiori?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tre Penne vs Tre Fiori?
Our predicted score is Tre Penne 2–1 Tre Fiori, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Tre Penne vs Tre Fiori?
Tre Penne vs Tre Fiori (Campionato) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
