Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSan Giovanni to win ✗39% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.80
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓62% · @1.75
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.47
Pennarossa vs San Giovanni preview and prediction
The match
Pennarossa host San Giovanni in the Campionato on Friday 23 October, with kick-off at 20:15 (WAT). Pennarossa are 13th with 5 points from 8 games (in the bottom half), while San Giovanni sit 10th on 8 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Pennarossa's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to Folgore 1–5 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 3.5 conceded.
San Giovanni's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Tre Fiori 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Pennarossa arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 1.8 for Pennarossa and 1.8 for San Giovanni. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 62% and both teams to score at 55%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Pennarossa 38%, draw 23%, San Giovanni 39%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 62% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.61, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Pennarossa 1–2 San Giovanni. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pennarossa38%fair 2.63 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.40
San Giovanni39%fair 2.53 · @2.70
3.62Expected goals
1.79Pennarossa xG
1.83San Giovanni xG
55%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–15%
1–35%
From our goals model: Pennarossa 1.8 – 1.8 San Giovanni expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
San Giovanni to win✗
39%
2.53
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.80
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.75 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
35%
2.82
–
Half-time / full-time
HT San Giovanni / FT San Giovanni✗
24%
4.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.47
–
Form
Pennarossa – last 6
LWLWLL
9 Oct
vs Folgore
1–5
L
19 Sep
vs Fiorentino
3–1
W
13 Sep
@ Cosmos
1–6
L
9 Sep
vs Cailungo
3–0
W
6 Sep
vs Murata
1–4
L
30 Aug
@ Tre Fiori
2–5
L
1.8Scored / game
3.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
San Giovanni – last 6
LLWLLL
10 Oct
vs Tre Fiori
0–1
L
20 Sep
vs Cailungo
0–3
L
12 Sep
@ Murata
2–0
W
8 Sep
vs Cosmos
0–1
L
4 Sep
@ Domagnano
0–4
L
29 Aug
vs Tre Penne
2–3
L
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pennarossa and San Giovanni.
What is the prediction for Pennarossa vs San Giovanni?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Pennarossa vs San Giovanni?
On our numbers Pennarossa have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and San Giovanni 39%.
How many goals will there be in Pennarossa vs San Giovanni?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pennarossa vs San Giovanni?
Our predicted score is Pennarossa 1–2 San Giovanni, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Pennarossa vs San Giovanni?
Pennarossa vs San Giovanni (Campionato) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
