Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓61% · fair 1.63
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.37
Virtus vs San Marino Academy preview and prediction
The match
Virtus host San Marino Academy in the Campionato on Sunday 11 October, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT). Virtus are 3rd with 19 points from 8 games (in the top four), while San Marino Academy sit 15th on 4 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Virtus's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Tre Fiori 3–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.3 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
San Marino Academy's last 5: LDDLL Most recently they lost to Folgore 0–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game.
Virtus arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.9 for Virtus and 0.4 for San Marino Academy. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 39%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Virtus 75%, draw 19%, San Marino Academy 7%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 51% chance at odds of 2.15, above our fair price of 1.96, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Virtus 1–0 San Marino Academy. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Virtus75%fair 1.34 · @1.12
Draw19%fair 5.37 · @7.00
San Marino Academy7%fair 14.71 · @19.00
2.34Expected goals
1.94Virtus xG
0.40San Marino Academy xG
39%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–019%
2–018%
3–012%
0–010%
1–18%
2–17%
From our goals model: Virtus 1.9 – 0.4 San Marino Academy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Virtus to win✓
75%
1.34
1.12
Double chance
Virtus or draw✓
93%
1.07
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
2.15 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
–
Half-time result
Virtus ahead at half-time✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Virtus / FT Virtus✓
49%
2.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.37
–
Form
Virtus – last 6
WWWWDW
18 Sep
@ Tre Fiori
3–2
W
12 Sep
vs Libertas
2–0
W
9 Sep
@ Murata
3–0
W
4 Sep
@ Fiorentino
1–0
W
30 Aug
vs La Fiorita
0–0
D
16 Jul
vs Dila
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
San Marino Academy – last 6
LDDLLL
19 Sep
@ Folgore
0–2
L
13 Sep
vs Faetano
0–0
D
6 Sep
@ La Fiorita
1–1
D
28 Aug
vs Fiorentino
0–2
L
19 Apr
@ Folgore
0–3
L
7 Apr
vs Fiorentino
0–3
L
0.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Virtus and San Marino Academy.
What is the prediction for Virtus vs San Marino Academy?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.15.
Who will win Virtus vs San Marino Academy?
On our numbers Virtus have a 75% chance of winning, the draw 19% and San Marino Academy 7%.
How many goals will there be in Virtus vs San Marino Academy?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 39% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Virtus vs San Marino Academy?
Our predicted score is Virtus 1–0 San Marino Academy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Virtus vs San Marino Academy?
Virtus vs San Marino Academy (Campionato) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
