Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Cosmos to win @ 1.85 – our chance 62% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCosmos to win ✓62% · @1.85
Double chanceCosmos or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.87
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓12% · fair 8.46
Cosmos vs Juvenes Dogana preview and prediction
The match
The Campionato sees Cosmos take on Juvenes Dogana on Sunday 11 October, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT). Cosmos are 5th with 16 points from 8 games (in the top half), while Juvenes Dogana sit 11th on 7 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Cosmos's last 5: WWWLD Most recently they beat Murata 2–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Juvenes Dogana's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Tre Penne 0–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Cosmos arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Cosmos and 0.9 for Juvenes Dogana. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 47%.
Value angle: Cosmos to win at 1.85 – 62% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Cosmos or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Cosmos 1–0 Juvenes Dogana. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cosmos62%fair 1.62 · @1.85
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.40
Juvenes Dogana15%fair 6.64 · @3.60
2.80Expected goals
1.94Cosmos xG
0.86Juvenes Dogana xG
47%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Cosmos 1.9 – 0.9 Juvenes Dogana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cosmos to win✓
62%
1.62
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Cosmos or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.87
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
–
Half-time result
Cosmos ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cosmos / FT Cosmos✗
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
12%
8.46
–
Form
Cosmos – last 6
WWWLDD
18 Sep
@ Murata
2–0
W
13 Sep
vs Pennarossa
6–1
W
8 Sep
@ San Giovanni
1–0
W
4 Sep
@ Tre Penne
0–2
L
29 Aug
vs Libertas
1–1
D
6 May
vs Tre Penne
0–0
D
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Juvenes Dogana – last 6
LLLLWL
20 Sep
@ Tre Penne
0–2
L
13 Sep
vs Folgore
1–2
L
8 Sep
@ Tre Penne
1–2
L
5 Sep
@ Libertas
1–2
L
28 Aug
vs Faetano
4–0
W
6 May
vs Virtus
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cosmos and Juvenes Dogana.
What is the prediction for Cosmos vs Juvenes Dogana?
Our pick is Cosmos or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Cosmos vs Juvenes Dogana?
On our numbers Cosmos have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Juvenes Dogana 15%.
How many goals will there be in Cosmos vs Juvenes Dogana?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cosmos vs Juvenes Dogana?
Our predicted score is Cosmos 1–0 Juvenes Dogana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Cosmos vs Juvenes Dogana?
Cosmos vs Juvenes Dogana (Campionato) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
