Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultEmelec to win ✗62% · @1.73
Double chanceEmelec or draw ✗87% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.91
Emelec vs Guayaquil City FC preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Pro sees Emelec take on Guayaquil City FC on Sunday 25 October, kicking off at 22:00 (WAT) at Estadio George Capwell. Emelec are 10th with 45 points from 36 games, while Guayaquil City FC sit 8th on 48 points. Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Emelec's last 5: WLLLW Most recently they beat Leones del Norte 3–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Guayaquil City FC's last 5: LWDWL Most recently they lost to Libertad 0–4 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 10 October 2026, finished Guayaquil City FC 3–2 Emelec. Across their last 3 meetings Emelec have won 0, Guayaquil City FC 2, with 1 draw and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.7 for Emelec and 0.6 for Guayaquil City FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 49%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Emelec 62%, draw 25%, Guayaquil City FC 13%.
Safer route: Emelec or draw (87%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Emelec to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.61, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Emelec 1–0 Guayaquil City FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Emelec62%fair 1.61 · @1.73
Draw25%fair 3.99 · @3.10
Guayaquil City FC13%fair 7.86 · @4.33
2.29Expected goals
1.67Emelec xG
0.62Guayaquil City FC xG
49%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–014%
1–110%
0–010%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Emelec 1.7 – 0.6 Guayaquil City FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Emelec vs Guayaquil City FC?
Our pick is Emelec to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Emelec vs Guayaquil City FC?
On our numbers Emelec have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Guayaquil City FC 13%.
How many goals will there be in Emelec vs Guayaquil City FC?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Emelec vs Guayaquil City FC?
Our predicted score is Emelec 1–0 Guayaquil City FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Emelec vs Guayaquil City FC?
Emelec vs Guayaquil City FC (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio George Capwell.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
