Value bet: Wanderers to win @ 3.30 – our chance 35% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDanubio to win ✗41% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.61
Danubio vs Wanderers preview and prediction
The match
Wanderers travel to Jardines Del Hipódromo in the Primera División Apertura on Sunday 20 September (17:00 WAT) to face Danubio. Danubio are 14th with 10 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Wanderers sit 10th on 16 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Danubio's last 5: DLLLW Most recently they drew with Juventud 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Wanderers's last 5: DLLDW Most recently they drew with Club Nacional 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 5 June 2026, finished Wanderers 0–0 Danubio.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Danubio and 1.1 for Wanderers. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 57%.
Value angle: Wanderers to win at 3.30 – 35% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.76, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Danubio 1–1 Wanderers. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Danubio41%fair 2.46 · @2.15
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.10
Wanderers35%fair 2.86 · @3.30
2.37Expected goals
1.24Danubio xG
1.13Wanderers xG
57%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Danubio 1.2 – 1.1 Wanderers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Danubio vs Wanderers?
On our numbers Danubio have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Wanderers 35%.
How many goals will there be in Danubio vs Wanderers?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Danubio vs Wanderers?
Our predicted score is Danubio 1–1 Wanderers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Danubio vs Wanderers?
Danubio vs Wanderers (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Jardines Del Hipódromo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
