Double chanceKorea Republic U23 or draw ✓90% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.85
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✓10% · fair 10.40
Korea Republic U23 vs Saudi Arabia U23 preview and prediction
The match
Korea Republic U23 host Saudi Arabia U23 in the Asian Games on Tuesday 22 September, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT) at Paloma Mizuho Stadium. Korea Republic U23 are 1st with 6 points from 2 games, while Saudi Arabia U23 sit 2nd on 3 points. Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.5 for Korea Republic U23 and 1.0 for Saudi Arabia U23. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score in 54% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Korea Republic U23 68%, draw 22%, Saudi Arabia U23 10%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Korea Republic U23 to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Korea Republic U23 2–0 Saudi Arabia U23. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Korea Republic U2368%fair 1.47 · @1.36
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @4.00
Saudi Arabia U2310%fair 10.23 · @7.00
3.50Expected goals
2.52Korea Republic U23 xG
0.98Saudi Arabia U23 xG
54%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–19%
3–08%
3–18%
1–08%
1–17%
From our goals model: Korea Republic U23 2.5 – 1.0 Saudi Arabia U23 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Korea Republic U23 to win✓
68%
1.47
1.36
Double chance
Korea Republic U23 or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Korea Republic U23 ahead at half-time✗
53%
1.90
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Korea Republic U23 / FT Korea Republic U23✗
48%
2.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✓
10%
10.40
–
Form
Korea Republic U23 – last 2
WW
15 Sep
@ Qatar U23
4–1
W
6 Jun
@ Thailand U23
3–2
W
3.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Saudi Arabia U23 – last 2
WL
18 Sep
vs Qatar U23
2–0
W
31 May
@ China PR U20
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Korea Republic U23 and Saudi Arabia U23.
What is the prediction for Korea Republic U23 vs Saudi Arabia U23?
Our pick is Korea Republic U23 to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Korea Republic U23 vs Saudi Arabia U23?
On our numbers Korea Republic U23 have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Saudi Arabia U23 10%.
How many goals will there be in Korea Republic U23 vs Saudi Arabia U23?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Korea Republic U23 vs Saudi Arabia U23?
Our predicted score is Korea Republic U23 2–0 Saudi Arabia U23, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Korea Republic U23 vs Saudi Arabia U23?
Korea Republic U23 vs Saudi Arabia U23 (Asian Games) kicks off on Tuesday 22 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Paloma Mizuho Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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