Vietnam U23 vs Uzbekistan U23 prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Uzbekistan U23 to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.65Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 53% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultUzbekistan U23 to win ✓67% · @1.65
Double chanceUzbekistan U23 or draw ✓88% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.15
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✓12% · fair 8.48
Vietnam U23 vs Uzbekistan U23 preview and prediction
The match
The Asian Games sees Vietnam U23 take on Uzbekistan U23 on Tuesday 22 September, kicking off at 06:00 (WAT) at Paloma Mizuho Stadium. Vietnam U23 are 2nd with 4 points from 3 games, while Uzbekistan U23 sit 1st on 9 points.
Form guide
Vietnam U23's last 4: WDLL Most recently they beat Philippines U23 2–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Uzbekistan U23's last 3: WWW Most recently they beat Kuwait U23 2–0 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Uzbekistan U23 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 0.8 for Vietnam U23 and 2.2 for Uzbekistan U23. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 53% of our simulations. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Safer route: Uzbekistan U23 or draw (88%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.15.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.15 – 53% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Uzbekistan U23 to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.65, above our fair price of 1.49, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Vietnam U23 0–2 Uzbekistan U23. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vietnam U2312%fair 8.47 · @5.00
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.30
Uzbekistan U2367%fair 1.49 · @1.65
3.00Expected goals
0.82Vietnam U23 xG
2.18Uzbekistan U23 xG
53%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–212%
0–111%
1–210%
1–19%
0–39%
1–37%
From our goals model: Vietnam U23 0.8 – 2.2 Uzbekistan U23 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Uzbekistan U23 to win✓
67%
1.49
1.65 ▲
Double chance
Uzbekistan U23 or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
2.15 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Uzbekistan U23 ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Uzbekistan U23 / FT Uzbekistan U23✓
45%
2.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✓
12%
8.48
–
Form
Vietnam U23 – last 4
WDLL
18 Sep
@ Philippines U23
2–0
W
15 Sep
vs Kuwait U23
1–1
D
31 Mar
@ China PR U23
0–1
L
28 Mar
@ Thailand U23
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Uzbekistan U23 – last 3
WWW
18 Sep
@ Kuwait U23
2–0
W
15 Sep
vs Philippines U23
5–1
W
8 Jun
@ USA U21
1–0
W
2.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vietnam U23 and Uzbekistan U23.
What is the prediction for Vietnam U23 vs Uzbekistan U23?
Our pick is Uzbekistan U23 to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Vietnam U23 vs Uzbekistan U23?
On our numbers Vietnam U23 have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Uzbekistan U23 67%.
How many goals will there be in Vietnam U23 vs Uzbekistan U23?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vietnam U23 vs Uzbekistan U23?
Our predicted score is Vietnam U23 0–2 Uzbekistan U23, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Vietnam U23 vs Uzbekistan U23?
Vietnam U23 vs Uzbekistan U23 (Asian Games) kicks off on Tuesday 22 September 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Paloma Mizuho Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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