Kyrgyz Republic U23 vs Japan U23 preview and prediction
The match
Japan U23 travel to Toyota Stadium in the Asian Games on Sunday 20 September (11:30 WAT) to face Kyrgyz Republic U23. Kyrgyz Republic U23 are 3rd with 3 points from 3 games, while Japan U23 sit 1st on 9 points.
Form guide
Kyrgyz Republic U23's last 3: LLD Most recently they lost to Thailand U23 2–3 away. They average 1.7 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 0.7 for Kyrgyz Republic U23 and 2.8 for Japan U23. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score in 51% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 2.80, above our fair price of 1.96, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Kyrgyz Republic U23 1–2 Japan U23. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kyrgyz Republic U236%fair 16.73 · @91.00
Draw16%fair 6.14 · @11.00
Japan U2378%fair 1.29 · @1.05
3.50Expected goals
0.75Kyrgyz Republic U23 xG
2.75Japan U23 xG
51%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–211%
0–311%
1–29%
0–18%
1–38%
0–47%
From our goals model: Kyrgyz Republic U23 0.7 – 2.8 Japan U23 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Japan U23 to win✓
78%
1.29
1.05
Double chance
Japan U23 or draw✓
94%
1.06
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
2.80 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Japan U23 ahead at half-time✓
59%
1.69
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Japan U23 / FT Japan U23✓
56%
1.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
11%
8.73
–
Form
Kyrgyz Republic U23 – last 3
LLD
16 Sep
@ Thailand U23
2–3
L
27 Mar
vs Jordan U23
1–2
L
26 Mar
vs Serbia U21
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Japan U23 – last 1
W
16 Sep
vs Hong Kong U23
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kyrgyz Republic U23 and Japan U23.
What is the prediction for Kyrgyz Republic U23 vs Japan U23?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.80.
Who will win Kyrgyz Republic U23 vs Japan U23?
On our numbers Kyrgyz Republic U23 have a 6% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Japan U23 78%.
How many goals will there be in Kyrgyz Republic U23 vs Japan U23?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kyrgyz Republic U23 vs Japan U23?
Our predicted score is Kyrgyz Republic U23 1–2 Japan U23, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Kyrgyz Republic U23 vs Japan U23?
Kyrgyz Republic U23 vs Japan U23 (Asian Games) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Toyota Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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