Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.73Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 58% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultIran U23 to win ✗66% · @1.73
Double chanceIran U23 or draw ✓87% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @2.00
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.50
Iran U23 vs China PR U23 preview and prediction
The match
The Asian Games sees Iran U23 take on China PR U23 on Sunday 20 September, kicking off at 06:00 (WAT) at Wave Stadium Kariya. Iran U23 are 3rd with 4 points from 3 games, while China PR U23 sit 1st on 5 points. Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
China PR U23's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Korea DPR U23 2–1 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.4 for Iran U23 and 1.1 for China PR U23. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score in 58% of our simulations.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.00 – 58% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Iran U23 to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.52, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Iran U23 2–1 China PR U23. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Iran U2366%fair 1.52 · @1.73
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.25
China PR U2313%fair 7.95 · @4.50
3.50Expected goals
2.44Iran U23 xG
1.06China PR U23 xG
58%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
3–18%
1–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Iran U23 2.4 – 1.1 China PR U23 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Iran U23 to win✗
66%
1.52
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Iran U23 or draw✓
87%
1.14
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Iran U23 ahead at half-time✗
50%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Iran U23 / FT Iran U23✗
45%
2.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.50
–
Form
Iran U23 – last 1
W
16 Sep
@ UAE U23
3–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
China PR U23 – last 6
WWWWDD
16 Sep
vs Korea DPR U23
2–1
W
9 Jun
vs Tajikistan U23
3–0
W
6 Jun
vs Tajikistan U23
1–0
W
31 Mar
vs Vietnam U23
1–0
W
28 Mar
vs Korea DPR U23
1–1
D
25 Mar
vs Thailand U23
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Iran U23 and China PR U23.
What is the prediction for Iran U23 vs China PR U23?
Our pick is Iran U23 to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Iran U23 vs China PR U23?
On our numbers Iran U23 have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 22% and China PR U23 13%.
How many goals will there be in Iran U23 vs China PR U23?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Iran U23 vs China PR U23?
Our predicted score is Iran U23 2–1 China PR U23, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Iran U23 vs China PR U23?
Iran U23 vs China PR U23 (Asian Games) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Wave Stadium Kariya.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Hong Kong U231
Thailand U235
Kyrgyz Republic U230
Japan U237