Value bet: Rubio NU to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCerro Porteno to win ✓45% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.96
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 10.75
Cerro Porteno vs Rubio NU preview and prediction
The match
Rubio NU travel to Estadio General Pablo Rojas in the Copa Paraguay on Wednesday 30 September (23:30 WAT) to face Cerro Porteno.
Form guide
Cerro Porteno's last 5: LWDWW Most recently they lost to Sportivo Trinidense 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Rubio NU's last 5: DLLLW Most recently they drew with 2 de Mayo 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Cerro Porteno arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 19 September 2026, finished Cerro Porteno 1–0 Rubio NU. Across their last 3 meetings Cerro Porteno have won 2, Rubio NU 1, with 0 draws and 1.7 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.5 for Cerro Porteno and 1.3 for Rubio NU. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cerro Porteno 45%, draw 21%, Rubio NU 35%.
Value angle: Rubio NU to win at 3.10 – 35% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 50% chance at odds of 2.00. Predicted score: Cerro Porteno 2–1 Rubio NU. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cerro Porteno45%fair 2.23 · @2.00
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @3.40
Rubio NU35%fair 2.90 · @3.10
2.78Expected goals
1.51Cerro Porteno xG
1.28Rubio NU xG
51%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Cerro Porteno 1.5 – 1.3 Rubio NU expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Cerro Porteno vs Rubio NU?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Cerro Porteno vs Rubio NU?
On our numbers Cerro Porteno have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Rubio NU 35%.
How many goals will there be in Cerro Porteno vs Rubio NU?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cerro Porteno vs Rubio NU?
Our predicted score is Cerro Porteno 2–1 Rubio NU, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Cerro Porteno vs Rubio NU?
Cerro Porteno vs Rubio NU (Copa Paraguay) kicks off on Wednesday 30 September 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio General Pablo Rojas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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