Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Plaza Colonia to win @ 1.85 – our chance 59% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPlaza Colonia to win ✗59% · @1.85
Double chancePlaza Colonia or draw ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.11
Plaza Colonia vs Paysandu preview and prediction
The match
Plaza Colonia host Paysandu in the Segunda División on Saturday 19 September, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Parque Cincuentenario Juan Prandi. Plaza Colonia are 4th with 38 points from 25 games (in the top four), while Paysandu sit 6th on 35 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Plaza Colonia's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to Rentistas 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Paysandu's last 5: LWWDL Most recently they lost to La Luz 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Plaza Colonia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 14 June 2026, finished Paysandu 1–2 Plaza Colonia. Across their last 2 meetings Plaza Colonia have won 1, Paysandu 0, with 1 draw and 2.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.6 for Plaza Colonia and 0.7 for Paysandu. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Plaza Colonia 59%, draw 22%, Paysandu 19%.
Safer route: Plaza Colonia or draw (81%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.91.
Value angle: Plaza Colonia to win at 1.85 – 59% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Plaza Colonia or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Plaza Colonia 1–0 Paysandu. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Plaza Colonia59%fair 1.71 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.00
Paysandu19%fair 5.27 · @4.00
2.29Expected goals
1.56Plaza Colonia xG
0.73Paysandu xG
51%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–012%
1–112%
0–010%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Plaza Colonia 1.6 – 0.7 Paysandu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Plaza Colonia vs Paysandu?
Our pick is Plaza Colonia or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Plaza Colonia vs Paysandu?
On our numbers Plaza Colonia have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Paysandu 19%.
How many goals will there be in Plaza Colonia vs Paysandu?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Plaza Colonia vs Paysandu?
Our predicted score is Plaza Colonia 1–0 Paysandu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Plaza Colonia vs Paysandu?
Plaza Colonia vs Paysandu (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Parque Cincuentenario Juan Prandi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
