Value bet: Colón to win @ 3.20 – our chance 36% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFenix to win ✗38% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.62
Fenix vs Colón preview and prediction
The match
Fenix host Colón in the Segunda División on Saturday 19 September, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at Parque Capurro. Fenix are 10th with 31 points from 25 games (in the bottom half), while Colón sit 3rd on 39 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Fenix's last 5: WLDDL Most recently they beat CA River Plate 1–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Colón's last 5: LLWDW Most recently they lost to Rentistas 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 September 2026, finished Colón 3–3 Fenix. Across their last 2 meetings Fenix have won 0, Colón 0, with 2 draws and 4.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.2 for Fenix and 1.1 for Colón. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 53%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Fenix 38%, draw 26%, Colón 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Colón to win at 3.20 – 36% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 2.00, above our fair price of 1.88, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Fenix 1–1 Colón. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fenix38%fair 2.61 · @2.25
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @2.80
Colón36%fair 2.80 · @3.20
2.33Expected goals
1.19Fenix xG
1.14Colón xG
53%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Fenix 1.2 – 1.1 Colón expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Fenix vs Colón?
On our numbers Fenix have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Colón 36%.
How many goals will there be in Fenix vs Colón?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fenix vs Colón?
Our predicted score is Fenix 1–1 Colón, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Fenix vs Colón?
Fenix vs Colón (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Parque Capurro.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
