Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
2
Value bet: Monagas SC to win @ 3.40 – our chance 33% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCaracas FC to win ✗44% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.01
Caracas FC vs Monagas SC preview and prediction
The match
Monagas SC travel to face Caracas FC in the Primera División on Sunday 13 September (22:30 WAT). Caracas FC are 2nd with 6 points from 5 games (in the top four), while Monagas SC sit 4th on 3 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Caracas FC's last 5: WWDDW Most recently they beat Fundación Lara Deportiva 5–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Monagas SC's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat Bolívar 5–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 23 March 2026, finished Monagas SC 1–1 Caracas FC.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for Caracas FC and 1.1 for Monagas SC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Caracas FC 44%, draw 22%, Monagas SC 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Monagas SC to win at 3.40 – 33% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 59% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: Caracas FC 1–1 Monagas SC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Caracas FC44%fair 2.25 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.10
Monagas SC33%fair 3.02 · @3.40
2.52Expected goals
1.38Caracas FC xG
1.14Monagas SC xG
59%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Caracas FC 1.4 – 1.1 Monagas SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Caracas FC vs Monagas SC?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Caracas FC vs Monagas SC?
On our numbers Caracas FC have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Monagas SC 33%.
How many goals will there be in Caracas FC vs Monagas SC?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Caracas FC vs Monagas SC?
Our predicted score is Caracas FC 1–1 Monagas SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Caracas FC vs Monagas SC?
Caracas FC vs Monagas SC (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
