Value bet: Carabobo FC to win @ 3.50 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultPuerto Cabello to win ✗42% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.64
Puerto Cabello vs Carabobo FC preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División sees Puerto Cabello take on Carabobo FC on Sunday 13 September, kicking off at 00:00 (WAT) at Complejo Deportivo Socialista. Puerto Cabello are 3rd with 6 points from 5 games (in the top four), while Carabobo FC sit 1st on 11 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Puerto Cabello's last 5: DDWDW Most recently they drew with UCV 0–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Carabobo FC's last 5: WLDDW Most recently they beat Estudiantes de Merida FC 1–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 7 June 2026, finished Carabobo FC 2–1 Puerto Cabello. Across their last 2 meetings Puerto Cabello have won 0, Carabobo FC 1, with 1 draw and 2.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Puerto Cabello and 1.1 for Carabobo FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 53%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Puerto Cabello 42%, draw 24%, Carabobo FC 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Carabobo FC to win at 3.50 – 34% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.87, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Puerto Cabello 1–1 Carabobo FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Puerto Cabello42%fair 2.37 · @2.15
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @2.90
Carabobo FC34%fair 2.93 · @3.50
2.41Expected goals
1.29Puerto Cabello xG
1.12Carabobo FC xG
53%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Puerto Cabello 1.3 – 1.1 Carabobo FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Puerto Cabello vs Carabobo FC?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Puerto Cabello vs Carabobo FC?
On our numbers Puerto Cabello have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Carabobo FC 34%.
How many goals will there be in Puerto Cabello vs Carabobo FC?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Puerto Cabello vs Carabobo FC?
Our predicted score is Puerto Cabello 1–1 Carabobo FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Puerto Cabello vs Carabobo FC?
Puerto Cabello vs Carabobo FC (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Complejo Deportivo Socialista.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
