Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.25 – our chance 55% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultNew Zealand W to win39% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals74% · @1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–27% · fair 14.65
Panama W vs New Zealand W preview and prediction
The match
New Zealand W travel to Estadio Rommel Fernandez in the Friendlies Women on Saturday 10 October (22:00 WAT) to face Panama W.
Form guide
Panama W's last 5: DLWWW Most recently they drew with Jamaica W 0–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 0.4 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
New Zealand W's last 5: DLWWW Most recently they drew with Morocco W 0–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 3.5 per game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.0 for Panama W and 1.0 for New Zealand W. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 55% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Panama W 39%, draw 22%, New Zealand W 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 2.25 – 55% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Prediction
Our prediction: Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.50, above our fair price of 1.35, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Panama W 1–1 New Zealand W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Panama W39%fair 2.59 · @2.75
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.50
New Zealand W39%fair 2.56 · @2.15
2.01Expected goals
1.00Panama W xG
1.01New Zealand W xG
57%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–114%
0–114%
1–013%
0–013%
1–27%
0–27%
From our goals model: Panama W 1.0 – 1.0 New Zealand W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
New Zealand W to win
39%
2.56
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win
78%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
57%
1.74
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
69%
1.45
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
55%
1.83
2.25 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
74%
1.35
1.50 ▲
Half-time result
Level at half-time
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw
22%
4.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
7%
14.65
–
Form
Panama W – last 5
DLWWW
9 Jun
vs Jamaica W
0–0
D
6 Jun
vs Jamaica W
0–1
L
18 Apr
vs Cuba W
3–0
W
10 Apr
vs Aruba W
3–1
W
5 Mar
@ St. Kitts and Nevis W
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
20%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
New Zealand W – last 6
DLWWWW
9 Jun
vs Morocco W
0–0
D
5 Jun
vs Haiti W
1–2
L
15 Apr
@ Papua New Guinea W
1–0
W
5 Mar
@ American Samoa W
3–0
W
2 Mar
vs Solomon Islands W
8–0
W
27 Feb
vs Samoa W
8–0
W
3.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Panama W and New Zealand W.
What is the prediction for Panama W vs New Zealand W?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Panama W vs New Zealand W?
On our numbers Panama W have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 22% and New Zealand W 39%.
How many goals will there be in Panama W vs New Zealand W?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Panama W vs New Zealand W?
Our predicted score is Panama W 1–1 New Zealand W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Panama W vs New Zealand W?
Panama W vs New Zealand W (Friendlies Women) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Rommel Fernandez.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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