SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg preview and prediction
The match
The DFB Pokal sees SC Freiburg take on VfL Wolfsburg on Wednesday 28 October, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT) at Europa-Park Stadion.
Form guide
SC Freiburg's last 5: LLLWW Most recently they lost to Bayern München 1–3 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 2.2 conceded.
VfL Wolfsburg's last 5: DWDWW Most recently they drew with VfL Bochum 1–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 6.0 goals: 4.0 for SC Freiburg and 2.0 for VfL Wolfsburg. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 94% and both teams to score at 70%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 70% chance at odds of 1.50, above our fair price of 1.42, so there is value in it. Predicted score: SC Freiburg 4–1 VfL Wolfsburg. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
SC Freiburg68%fair 1.46 · @1.50
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @4.33
VfL Wolfsburg10%fair 9.98 · @5.00
6.00Expected goals
4.00SC Freiburg xG
2.00VfL Wolfsburg xG
70%Both score
94%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
4–15%
3–15%
4–25%
3–25%
5–14%
5–24%
From our goals model: SC Freiburg 4.0 – 2.0 VfL Wolfsburg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SC Freiburg to win✓
68%
1.46
1.50
Double chance
SC Freiburg or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
70%
1.42
1.50 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
98%
1.02
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Half-time result
SC Freiburg ahead at half-time✗
58%
1.73
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SC Freiburg / FT SC Freiburg✗
52%
1.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 4–1✗
5%
18.88
–
Form
SC Freiburg – last 6
LLLWWW
25 Oct
vs Bayern München
1–3
L
22 Oct
@ Monaco
0–3
L
18 Oct
@ Bayer Leverkusen
1–2
L
15 Oct
vs FK Jablonec
3–2
W
11 Oct
vs FC Schalke 04
2–1
W
3 Oct
vs FC Luzern
4–2
W
1.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
VfL Wolfsburg – last 6
DWDWWL
23 Oct
@ VfL Bochum
1–1
D
17 Oct
vs 1. FC Heidenheim
3–1
W
10 Oct
@ 1. FC Nürnberg
4–4
D
1 Oct
vs Havelse
4–1
W
18 Sep
vs SV Darmstadt 98
5–1
W
12 Sep
@ FC St. Pauli
0–1
L
2.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between SC Freiburg and VfL Wolfsburg.
What is the prediction for SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg?
On our numbers SC Freiburg have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 22% and VfL Wolfsburg 10%.
How many goals will there be in SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg?
We expect about 6.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 94% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg?
Our predicted score is SC Freiburg 4–1 VfL Wolfsburg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 6.0 goals in total.
When is SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg?
SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg (DFB Pokal) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Europa-Park Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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Hertha BSC2
SC Paderborn 070
VfB Stuttgart1
Dynamo Dresden2
FC Schalke 040
Bayer Leverkusen5
1. FC Nürnberg2
Bayern München6
1. FC Magdeburg1
Hannover 960
1. FC Kaiserslautern2
Holstein Kiel1
1899 Hoffenheim1