Double chanceBayer Leverkusen or draw ✓88% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗13% · fair 7.71
Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Nürnberg preview and prediction
The match
The DFB Pokal sees Bayer Leverkusen take on 1. FC Nürnberg on Wednesday 28 October, kicking off at 20:45 (WAT) at BayArena.
Form guide
Bayer Leverkusen's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to 1899 Hoffenheim 0–3 away. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
1. FC Nürnberg's last 5: LDDWW Most recently they lost to 1. FC Kaiserslautern 0–1 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Bayer Leverkusen arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.3 for Bayer Leverkusen and 0.7 for 1. FC Nürnberg. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 55%.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 55% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: Bayer Leverkusen 2–1 1. FC Nürnberg. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bayer Leverkusen74%fair 1.35 · @1.15
Draw14%fair 7.12 · @7.50
1. FC Nürnberg12%fair 8.57 · @15.00
3.00Expected goals
2.28Bayer Leverkusen xG
0.721. FC Nürnberg xG
55%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–011%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Bayer Leverkusen 2.3 – 0.7 1. FC Nürnberg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bayer Leverkusen to win✓
74%
1.35
1.15
Double chance
Bayer Leverkusen or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Bayer Leverkusen ahead at half-time✗
53%
1.90
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bayer Leverkusen / FT Bayer Leverkusen✗
49%
2.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
13%
7.71
–
Form
Bayer Leverkusen – last 6
LWWWWW
25 Oct
@ 1899 Hoffenheim
0–3
L
22 Oct
@ OFI
2–0
W
18 Oct
vs SC Freiburg
2–1
W
15 Oct
@ Lech Poznan
4–0
W
10 Oct
@ FSV Mainz 05
4–3
W
20 Sep
vs RB Leipzig
2–0
W
2.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
1. FC Nürnberg – last 6
LDDWWW
24 Oct
vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern
0–1
L
16 Oct
@ Energie Cottbus
1–1
D
10 Oct
vs VfL Wolfsburg
4–4
D
2 Oct
vs FC Ingolstadt 04
3–1
W
19 Sep
@ Karlsruher SC
1–0
W
11 Sep
vs Hannover 96
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bayer Leverkusen and 1. FC Nürnberg.
What is the prediction for Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Nürnberg?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Nürnberg?
On our numbers Bayer Leverkusen have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 14% and 1. FC Nürnberg 12%.
How many goals will there be in Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Nürnberg?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Nürnberg?
Our predicted score is Bayer Leverkusen 2–1 1. FC Nürnberg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Nürnberg?
Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Nürnberg (DFB Pokal) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at BayArena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
SC Freiburg3
VfL Wolfsburg2
SSV Jeddeloh0
Hertha BSC2
SC Paderborn 070
VfB Stuttgart1
Dynamo Dresden2
FC Schalke 040
Bayern München6
1. FC Magdeburg1
Hannover 960
1. FC Kaiserslautern2
Holstein Kiel1
1899 Hoffenheim1