Value bet: Changchun Xidu to win @ 3.40 – our chance 32% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultYichun Grand Tiger to win ✗40% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.40
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗73% · fair 1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.28
Yichun Grand Tiger vs Changchun Xidu preview and prediction
The match
The League Two sees Yichun Grand Tiger take on Changchun Xidu on Monday 12 October, kicking off at 12:30 (WAT) at Wenzhou Sports Centre. Yichun Grand Tiger are 5th with 37 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Changchun Xidu sit 8th on 41 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Yichun Grand Tiger's last 5: DLWWD Most recently they drew with Shanghai Second 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Changchun Xidu's last 5: DDWWD Most recently they drew with Guangzhou Dandelion 1–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.0 for Yichun Grand Tiger and 0.8 for Changchun Xidu. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 73% likely.
Value angle: Changchun Xidu to win at 3.40 – 32% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Yichun Grand Tiger 0–0 Changchun Xidu. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Yichun Grand Tiger40%fair 2.48 · @2.20
Draw27%fair 3.67 · @2.62
Changchun Xidu32%fair 3.08 · @3.40
1.82Expected goals
0.98Yichun Grand Tiger xG
0.84Changchun Xidu xG
49%Both score
27%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–016%
1–016%
0–114%
1–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Yichun Grand Tiger 1.0 – 0.8 Changchun Xidu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Yichun Grand Tiger to win✗
40%
2.48
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.40
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.98
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
52%
1.91
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
24%
4.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.28
–
Form
Yichun Grand Tiger – last 6
DLWWDD
6 Oct
@ Shanghai Second
1–1
D
18 Sep
@ Rizhao Yuqi
0–2
L
13 Sep
vs Dalian Yingbo B
1–0
W
23 Aug
@ Xiamen Feilu
2–0
W
16 Aug
vs Shenzhen 2028
1–1
D
9 Aug
@ Guangdong Mingtu
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Changchun Xidu – last 6
DDWWDL
6 Oct
vs Guangzhou Dandelion
1–1
D
18 Sep
vs Guangdong Mingtu
0–0
D
12 Sep
@ Hubei Chufeng Heli
2–1
W
22 Aug
vs Dalian Kewei
2–1
W
15 Aug
@ BIT
2–2
D
9 Aug
vs Xi'an Ronghai
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Yichun Grand Tiger and Changchun Xidu.
What is the prediction for Yichun Grand Tiger vs Changchun Xidu?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Yichun Grand Tiger vs Changchun Xidu?
On our numbers Yichun Grand Tiger have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Changchun Xidu 32%.
How many goals will there be in Yichun Grand Tiger vs Changchun Xidu?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Yichun Grand Tiger vs Changchun Xidu?
Our predicted score is Yichun Grand Tiger 0–0 Changchun Xidu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Yichun Grand Tiger vs Changchun Xidu?
Yichun Grand Tiger vs Changchun Xidu (League Two) kicks off on Monday 12 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Wenzhou Sports Centre.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Dalian Kewei2
Guangzhou Dandelion3
Shanghai Second1
Xiamen Feilu0