Value bet: Jiangxi Liansheng to win @ 3.50 – our chance 35% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultXi'an Ronghai to win ✓40% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗69% · fair 1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.82
Xi'an Ronghai vs Jiangxi Liansheng preview and prediction
The match
Jiangxi Liansheng travel to Taiyuan University Football Stadium - Artificial grass in the League Two on Monday 12 October (08:00 WAT) to face Xi'an Ronghai. Xi'an Ronghai are 5th with 35 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Jiangxi Liansheng sit 1st on 49 points (top of the table). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Xi'an Ronghai's last 5: DWLDL Most recently they drew with Langfang Glory City 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Jiangxi Liansheng's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to Dalian Kewei 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.0 for Xi'an Ronghai and 0.9 for Jiangxi Liansheng. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 69% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Jiangxi Liansheng to win at 3.50 – 35% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 52% chance at odds of 2.05, above our fair price of 1.92, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Xi'an Ronghai 1–1 Jiangxi Liansheng. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Xi'an Ronghai40%fair 2.50 · @2.00
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @2.88
Jiangxi Liansheng35%fair 2.89 · @3.50
1.94Expected goals
1.02Xi'an Ronghai xG
0.92Jiangxi Liansheng xG
52%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
0–014%
1–113%
0–113%
2–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Xi'an Ronghai 1.0 – 0.9 Jiangxi Liansheng expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Xi'an Ronghai to win✓
40%
2.50
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
2.05 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
23%
4.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.82
–
Form
Xi'an Ronghai – last 6
DWLDLW
6 Oct
@ Langfang Glory City
0–0
D
19 Sep
vs Guizhou Zhucheng
1–0
W
13 Sep
@ Shenzhen 2028
0–1
L
22 Aug
vs Rizhao Yuqi
0–0
D
15 Aug
@ Qingdao Red Lions
0–1
L
9 Aug
@ Changchun Xidu
2–1
W
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Jiangxi Liansheng – last 6
LWLWLW
7 Oct
vs Dalian Kewei
0–1
L
18 Sep
vs Shandong Taishan II
2–1
W
12 Sep
@ Shanghai Port II
0–1
L
23 Aug
@ Chengdu Rongcheng II
1–0
W
16 Aug
vs Xiamen Feilu
0–2
L
8 Aug
@ Wuhan Three Towns II
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Xi'an Ronghai and Jiangxi Liansheng.
What is the prediction for Xi'an Ronghai vs Jiangxi Liansheng?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win Xi'an Ronghai vs Jiangxi Liansheng?
On our numbers Xi'an Ronghai have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Jiangxi Liansheng 35%.
How many goals will there be in Xi'an Ronghai vs Jiangxi Liansheng?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Xi'an Ronghai vs Jiangxi Liansheng?
Our predicted score is Xi'an Ronghai 1–1 Jiangxi Liansheng, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Xi'an Ronghai vs Jiangxi Liansheng?
Xi'an Ronghai vs Jiangxi Liansheng (League Two) kicks off on Monday 12 October 2026 at 08:00 (West Africa Time) at Taiyuan University Football Stadium - Artificial grass.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Dalian Kewei2
Guangzhou Dandelion3
Shanghai Second1
Yichun Grand Tiger1
Xiamen Feilu0