Value bet: Guangdong Mingtu to win @ 3.80 – our chance 29% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultRizhao Yuqi to win ✗47% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.25
Rizhao Yuqi vs Guangdong Mingtu preview and prediction
The match
Rizhao Yuqi host Guangdong Mingtu in the League Two on Sunday 11 October, with kick-off at 09:00 (WAT) at Lanzhou Olympic Center Stadium. Rizhao Yuqi are 3rd with 40 points from 30 games (in the top four), while Guangdong Mingtu sit 6th on 29 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Rizhao Yuqi's last 5: LWWLD Most recently they lost to Hubei Chufeng Heli 0–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Guangdong Mingtu's last 5: DDWLW Most recently they drew with Dalian Yingbo B 1–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.6 goals: 1.0 for Rizhao Yuqi and 0.7 for Guangdong Mingtu. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 78% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Guangdong Mingtu to win at 3.80 – 29% on our numbers against 26% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Rizhao Yuqi 0–0 Guangdong Mingtu. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rizhao Yuqi47%fair 2.14 · @2.00
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @2.75
Guangdong Mingtu29%fair 3.41 · @3.80
1.62Expected goals
0.96Rizhao Yuqi xG
0.66Guangdong Mingtu xG
46%Both score
22%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–020%
1–019%
0–113%
1–113%
2–09%
2–16%
From our goals model: Rizhao Yuqi 1.0 – 0.7 Guangdong Mingtu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rizhao Yuqi to win✗
47%
2.14
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
55%
1.81
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
27%
3.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.25
–
Form
Rizhao Yuqi – last 6
LWWLDW
6 Oct
@ Hubei Chufeng Heli
0–2
L
18 Sep
vs Yichun Grand Tiger
2–0
W
13 Sep
@ Guangzhou Dandelion
2–1
W
1 Sep
@ Beijing Guoan
1–3
L
22 Aug
@ Xi'an Ronghai
0–0
D
15 Aug
vs Shanghai Port II
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Guangdong Mingtu – last 6
DDWLWD
6 Oct
vs Dalian Yingbo B
1–1
D
18 Sep
@ Changchun Xidu
0–0
D
12 Sep
vs Shanghai Second
1–0
W
23 Aug
@ Langfang Glory City
0–1
L
16 Aug
vs Wuhan Three Towns II
3–0
W
9 Aug
vs Yichun Grand Tiger
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rizhao Yuqi and Guangdong Mingtu.
What is the prediction for Rizhao Yuqi vs Guangdong Mingtu?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Rizhao Yuqi vs Guangdong Mingtu?
On our numbers Rizhao Yuqi have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Guangdong Mingtu 29%.
How many goals will there be in Rizhao Yuqi vs Guangdong Mingtu?
We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 22% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rizhao Yuqi vs Guangdong Mingtu?
Our predicted score is Rizhao Yuqi 0–0 Guangdong Mingtu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.
When is Rizhao Yuqi vs Guangdong Mingtu?
Rizhao Yuqi vs Guangdong Mingtu (League Two) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time) at Lanzhou Olympic Center Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Guizhou Zhucheng1
Shenzhen 20281
Dalian Yingbo B1
Wuhan Three Towns II1
Shangyu Pterosaur1