Value bet: Shanghai Port II to win @ 2.62 – our chance 42% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultShanghai Port II to win ✓42% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.65
Shanghai Port II vs Shenzhen 2028 preview and prediction
The match
The League Two sees Shanghai Port II take on Shenzhen 2028 on Sunday 11 October, kicking off at 08:30 (WAT) at Jinshan Sports Center. Shanghai Port II are 4th with 37 points from 30 games (in the top four), while Shenzhen 2028 sit 3rd on 55 points (in the top four). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Shanghai Port II's last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to Guizhou Zhucheng 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Shenzhen 2028's last 5: LDWLD Most recently they lost to Shandong Taishan II 0–2 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for Shanghai Port II and 1.2 for Shenzhen 2028. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 56%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Shanghai Port II 42%, draw 24%, Shenzhen 2028 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Shanghai Port II to win at 2.62 – 42% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 1.80. Predicted score: Shanghai Port II 1–1 Shenzhen 2028. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Shanghai Port II42%fair 2.35 · @2.62
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @2.80
Shenzhen 202834%fair 2.96 · @2.50
2.52Expected goals
1.35Shanghai Port II xG
1.17Shenzhen 2028 xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
1–27%
From our goals model: Shanghai Port II 1.4 – 1.2 Shenzhen 2028 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shanghai Port II to win✓
42%
2.35
2.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shanghai Port II / FT Shanghai Port II✗
24%
4.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.65
–
Form
Shanghai Port II – last 6
LWWWLL
6 Oct
@ Guizhou Zhucheng
1–2
L
19 Sep
@ Langfang Glory City
2–0
W
12 Sep
vs Jiangxi Liansheng
1–0
W
22 Aug
vs Qingdao Red Lions
2–0
W
15 Aug
@ Rizhao Yuqi
0–1
L
8 Aug
vs Shandong Taishan II
1–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Shenzhen 2028 – last 6
LDWLDW
6 Oct
vs Shandong Taishan II
0–2
L
19 Sep
@ Dalian Kewei
0–0
D
13 Sep
vs Xi'an Ronghai
1–0
W
23 Aug
vs Hubei Chufeng Heli
0–1
L
16 Aug
@ Yichun Grand Tiger
1–1
D
8 Aug
vs Shangyu Pterosaur
6–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shanghai Port II and Shenzhen 2028.
What is the prediction for Shanghai Port II vs Shenzhen 2028?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Shanghai Port II vs Shenzhen 2028?
On our numbers Shanghai Port II have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Shenzhen 2028 34%.
How many goals will there be in Shanghai Port II vs Shenzhen 2028?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shanghai Port II vs Shenzhen 2028?
Our predicted score is Shanghai Port II 1–1 Shenzhen 2028, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Shanghai Port II vs Shenzhen 2028?
Shanghai Port II vs Shenzhen 2028 (League Two) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 08:30 (West Africa Time) at Jinshan Sports Center.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Guizhou Zhucheng1
Guangdong Mingtu2
Dalian Yingbo B1
Wuhan Three Towns II1
Shangyu Pterosaur1