Value bet: Qingdao Red Lions to win @ 2.62 – our chance 43% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultQingdao Red Lions to win ✓43% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓13% · fair 7.71
Qingdao Red Lions vs Xiamen Feilu preview and prediction
The match
Xiamen Feilu travel to Qingdao Tiantai Stadium in the League Two on Sunday 13 September (12:00 WAT) to face Qingdao Red Lions.
Form guide
Qingdao Red Lions's last 5: LDWDW Most recently they lost to Shanghai Port II 0–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Xiamen Feilu's last 5: LWDLL Most recently they lost to Yichun Grand Tiger 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Qingdao Red Lions arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.2 for Qingdao Red Lions and 1.0 for Xiamen Feilu. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 55%.
Value angle: Qingdao Red Lions to win at 2.62 – 43% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 55% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.83, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Qingdao Red Lions 1–1 Xiamen Feilu. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Qingdao Red Lions43%fair 2.32 · @2.62
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @2.70
Xiamen Feilu33%fair 3.06 · @2.62
2.25Expected goals
1.23Qingdao Red Lions xG
1.02Xiamen Feilu xG
55%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Qingdao Red Lions 1.2 – 1.0 Xiamen Feilu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Qingdao Red Lions to win✓
43%
2.32
2.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.40 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Qingdao Red Lions / FT Qingdao Red Lions✗
23%
4.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
13%
7.71
–
Form
Qingdao Red Lions – last 6
LDWDWL
22 Aug
@ Shanghai Port II
0–2
L
19 Aug
@ Nantong Haimen Codion
1–1
D
15 Aug
vs Xi'an Ronghai
1–0
W
1 Aug
vs Rizhao Yuqi
0–0
D
27 Jul
vs BIT
6–1
W
19 Jul
@ Tai'an Tiankuang
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Xiamen Feilu – last 6
LWDLLL
23 Aug
vs Yichun Grand Tiger
0–2
L
16 Aug
@ Jiangxi Liansheng
2–0
W
8 Aug
vs Guangzhou Dandelion
0–0
D
2 Aug
@ Chengdu Rongcheng II
1–5
L
29 Jul
@ Wuhan Three Towns II
1–2
L
26 Jul
vs Langfang Glory City
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Qingdao Red Lions and Xiamen Feilu.
What is the prediction for Qingdao Red Lions vs Xiamen Feilu?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Qingdao Red Lions vs Xiamen Feilu?
On our numbers Qingdao Red Lions have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Xiamen Feilu 33%.
How many goals will there be in Qingdao Red Lions vs Xiamen Feilu?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Qingdao Red Lions vs Xiamen Feilu?
Our predicted score is Qingdao Red Lions 1–1 Xiamen Feilu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Qingdao Red Lions vs Xiamen Feilu?
Qingdao Red Lions vs Xiamen Feilu (League Two) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Qingdao Tiantai Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Guangzhou Dandelion1
Rizhao Yuqi2
Shandong Taishan II0
Langfang Glory City0
Shenzhen 20281
Xi'an Ronghai0
Yichun Grand Tiger1
Dalian Yingbo B0