Value bet: Rizhao Yuqi to win @ 3.00 – our chance 38% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultRizhao Yuqi to win ✓38% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.40
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗73% · fair 1.37
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.48
Guangzhou Dandelion vs Rizhao Yuqi preview and prediction
The match
The League Two sees Guangzhou Dandelion take on Rizhao Yuqi on Sunday 13 September, kicking off at 09:00 (WAT) at Zengcheng Stadium. Guangzhou Dandelion are 2nd with 46 points from 30 games (in the top four), while Rizhao Yuqi sit 3rd on 40 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Guangzhou Dandelion's last 5: DWDLD Most recently they drew with Guizhou Zhucheng 0–0 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Rizhao Yuqi's last 5: LDWDW Most recently they lost to Beijing Guoan 1–3 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Rizhao Yuqi arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 0.9 for Guangzhou Dandelion and 0.9 for Rizhao Yuqi. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 73% likely.
Value angle: Rizhao Yuqi to win at 3.00 – 38% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 50% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Guangzhou Dandelion 0–0 Rizhao Yuqi. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Guangzhou Dandelion34%fair 2.92 · @2.45
Draw28%fair 3.61 · @2.50
Rizhao Yuqi38%fair 2.63 · @3.00
1.80Expected goals
0.87Guangzhou Dandelion xG
0.93Rizhao Yuqi xG
50%Both score
27%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–017%
0–115%
1–014%
1–113%
0–27%
1–26%
From our goals model: Guangzhou Dandelion 0.9 – 0.9 Rizhao Yuqi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rizhao Yuqi to win✓
38%
2.63
3.00 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.38
1.40
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
2.00
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
53%
1.90
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
24%
4.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.48
–
Form
Guangzhou Dandelion – last 6
DWDLDL
23 Aug
vs Guizhou Zhucheng
0–0
D
16 Aug
@ Shangyu Pterosaur
3–1
W
8 Aug
@ Xiamen Feilu
0–0
D
2 Aug
vs Wuhan Three Towns II
1–4
L
25 Jul
vs Yichun Grand Tiger
0–0
D
18 Jul
@ Shenzhen 2028
1–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Rizhao Yuqi – last 6
LDWDWD
1 Sep
@ Beijing Guoan
1–3
L
22 Aug
@ Xi'an Ronghai
0–0
D
15 Aug
vs Shanghai Port II
1–0
W
9 Aug
@ Dalian Kewei
2–2
D
5 Aug
vs BIT
1–0
W
1 Aug
@ Qingdao Red Lions
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Guangzhou Dandelion and Rizhao Yuqi.
What is the prediction for Guangzhou Dandelion vs Rizhao Yuqi?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Guangzhou Dandelion vs Rizhao Yuqi?
On our numbers Guangzhou Dandelion have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Rizhao Yuqi 38%.
How many goals will there be in Guangzhou Dandelion vs Rizhao Yuqi?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guangzhou Dandelion vs Rizhao Yuqi?
Our predicted score is Guangzhou Dandelion 0–0 Rizhao Yuqi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Guangzhou Dandelion vs Rizhao Yuqi?
Guangzhou Dandelion vs Rizhao Yuqi (League Two) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time) at Zengcheng Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Qingdao Red Lions1
Xiamen Feilu0
Shenzhen 20281
Yichun Grand Tiger1
Dalian Yingbo B0