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Copa Chile · Chile · Estadio Ester Roa
2–0
FT

Concepción vs Curico Unido prediction & analysis

56%
Footrivo pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.80 · bookmaker 2.10 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
2.10Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultConcepción to win ✓63% · @1.40
Double chanceConcepción or draw ✓85% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @2.10
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✓11% · fair 9.04

Concepción vs Curico Unido preview and prediction

The match

The Copa Chile sees Concepción take on Curico Unido on Sunday 27 September, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Estadio Ester Roa.

Form guide

Concepción's last 5: WDLWD Most recently they beat Curico Unido 4–0 away. They average 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Curico Unido's last 5: LLWLD Most recently they lost to Concepción 0–4 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.

Concepción arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 23 September 2026, finished Curico Unido 0–4 Concepción.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.0 for Concepción and 0.9 for Curico Unido. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score in 56% of our simulations.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 2.10, above our fair price of 1.80, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Concepción 2–1 Curico Unido. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Concepción63%fair 1.58 · @1.40
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @4.20
Curico Unido15%fair 6.58 · @7.50
2.93Expected goals
2.04Concepción xG
0.89Curico Unido xG
56%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%

From our goals model: Concepción 2.0 – 0.9 Curico Unido expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultConcepción to win ✓63%1.581.40
Double chanceConcepción or draw ✓85%1.181.08
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.802.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.27–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗56%1.78–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓66%1.51–
Half-time resultConcepción ahead at half-time ✗46%2.16–
Half-time / full-timeHT Concepción / FT Concepción ✗41%2.44–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✓11%9.04–

Form

Concepción – last 6

WDLWDW
23 Sep@ Curico Unido4–0W
13 Sep@ Colo Colo1–1D
5 Sepvs A. Italiano0–1L
30 Aug@ Nublense1–0W
23 Augvs Coquimbo Unido1–1D
16 Aug@ Cobresal2–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Curico Unido – last 6

LLWLDW
23 Sepvs Concepción0–4L
13 Sep@ San Marcos de Arica0–3L
9 Sepvs Union Espanola2–1W
5 Sep@ D. Puerto Montt0–2L
30 Augvs Recoleta0–0D
24 Augvs Union San Felipe2–0W
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

23 Sep 2026Curico Unido v Concepción0–4
Concepción vs Curico Unido head-to-head page →

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Concepción vs Curico Unido?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.10.

Who will win Concepción vs Curico Unido?

On our numbers Concepción have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Curico Unido 15%.

How many goals will there be in Concepción vs Curico Unido?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Concepción vs Curico Unido?

Our predicted score is Concepción 2–1 Curico Unido, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Concepción vs Curico Unido?

Concepción vs Curico Unido (Copa Chile) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Ester Roa.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.