U. Catolica vs Union La Calera prediction & analysis
89%
Footrivo pick
U. Catolica or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.13 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: U. Catolica to win @ 1.60 – our chance 68% vs 63% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultU. Catolica to win ✗68% · @1.60
Double chanceU. Catolica or draw ✓89% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.13
U. Catolica vs Union La Calera preview and prediction
The match
Union La Calera travel to Claro Arena in the Copa Chile on Sunday 27 September (00:00 WAT) to face U. Catolica.
Form guide
U. Catolica's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Union La Calera 1–1 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Union La Calera's last 5: DWLLD Most recently they drew with U. Catolica 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
U. Catolica arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 24 September 2026, finished Union La Calera 1–1 U. Catolica. Across their last 2 meetings U. Catolica have won 0, Union La Calera 1, with 1 draw and 2.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.1 for U. Catolica and 0.8 for Union La Calera. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score in 52% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: U. Catolica 68%, draw 21%, Union La Calera 11%.
Safer route: U. Catolica or draw (89%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.00.
Value angle: U. Catolica to win at 1.60 – 68% on our numbers against 63% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was U. Catolica or draw – a 89% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.13, so there is value in it. Predicted score: U. Catolica 2–0 Union La Calera. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
U. Catolica68%fair 1.48 · @1.60
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @4.00
Union La Calera11%fair 8.78 · @4.10
2.93Expected goals
2.15U. Catolica xG
0.78Union La Calera xG
52%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: U. Catolica 2.1 – 0.8 Union La Calera expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for U. Catolica vs Union La Calera?
Our pick is U. Catolica or draw with a 89% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win U. Catolica vs Union La Calera?
On our numbers U. Catolica have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Union La Calera 11%.
How many goals will there be in U. Catolica vs Union La Calera?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for U. Catolica vs Union La Calera?
Our predicted score is U. Catolica 2–0 Union La Calera, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is U. Catolica vs Union La Calera?
U. Catolica vs Union La Calera (Copa Chile) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Claro Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Antofagasta4
Deportes Iquique1
Concepción2
Curico Unido0