Concepción travel to Estadio Bicentenario La Granja in the Copa Chile on Wednesday 23 September (22:00 WAT) to face Curico Unido.
Form guide
Curico Unido's last 5: LWLDW Most recently they lost to San Marcos de Arica 0–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Concepción's last 5: DLWDW Most recently they drew with Colo Colo 1–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Concepción arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.3 for Curico Unido and 1.5 for Concepción. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 54%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 1.83. Predicted score: Curico Unido 1–1 Concepción. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Curico Unido33%fair 3.04 · @3.10
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.00
Concepción44%fair 2.29 · @2.30
2.75Expected goals
1.26Curico Unido xG
1.49Concepción xG
54%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Curico Unido 1.3 – 1.5 Concepción expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Concepción to win✓
44%
2.29
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.31
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Concepción / FT Concepción✓
25%
3.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
10.48
–
Form
Curico Unido – last 6
LWLDWL
13 Sep
@ San Marcos de Arica
0–3
L
9 Sep
vs Union Espanola
2–1
W
5 Sep
@ D. Puerto Montt
0–2
L
30 Aug
vs Recoleta
0–0
D
24 Aug
vs Union San Felipe
2–0
W
17 Aug
@ Deportes Copiapo
0–4
L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Concepción – last 6
DLWDWW
13 Sep
@ Colo Colo
1–1
D
5 Sep
vs A. Italiano
0–1
L
30 Aug
@ Nublense
1–0
W
23 Aug
vs Coquimbo Unido
1–1
D
16 Aug
@ Cobresal
2–0
W
9 Aug
vs Universidad de Concepcion
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Curico Unido and Concepción.
What is the prediction for Curico Unido vs Concepción?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Curico Unido vs Concepción?
On our numbers Curico Unido have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Concepción 44%.
How many goals will there be in Curico Unido vs Concepción?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Curico Unido vs Concepción?
Our predicted score is Curico Unido 1–1 Concepción, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Curico Unido vs Concepción?
Curico Unido vs Concepción (Copa Chile) kicks off on Wednesday 23 September 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bicentenario La Granja.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
A. Italiano0
Colo Colo0
Cobreloa1
Coquimbo Unido2