Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Colo Colo to win @ 1.80 – our chance 62% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultColo Colo to win ✗62% · @1.80
Double chanceColo Colo or draw ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.14
A. Italiano vs Colo Colo preview and prediction
The match
A. Italiano host Colo Colo in the Copa Chile on Wednesday 23 September, with kick-off at 00:30 (WAT) at Estadio Bicentenario de La Florida.
Form guide
A. Italiano's last 5: WWLDD Most recently they beat O'Higgins 1–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Colo Colo's last 5: DDWWW Most recently they drew with Concepción 1–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Colo Colo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 30 August 2026, finished Colo Colo 5–1 A. Italiano.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.1 for A. Italiano and 2.1 for Colo Colo. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: A. Italiano 19%, draw 20%, Colo Colo 62%.
Safer route: Colo Colo or draw (81%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Colo Colo to win at 1.80 – 62% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Colo Colo or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: A. Italiano 1–2 Colo Colo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
A. Italiano19%fair 5.30 · @4.20
Draw20%fair 5.11 · @3.40
Colo Colo62%fair 1.62 · @1.80
3.25Expected goals
1.10A. Italiano xG
2.15Colo Colo xG
62%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
1–19%
0–29%
0–18%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: A. Italiano 1.1 – 2.1 Colo Colo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for A. Italiano vs Colo Colo?
Our pick is Colo Colo or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win A. Italiano vs Colo Colo?
On our numbers A. Italiano have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Colo Colo 62%.
How many goals will there be in A. Italiano vs Colo Colo?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for A. Italiano vs Colo Colo?
Our predicted score is A. Italiano 1–2 Colo Colo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is A. Italiano vs Colo Colo?
A. Italiano vs Colo Colo (Copa Chile) kicks off on Wednesday 23 September 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bicentenario de La Florida.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.